Sport Picks

Stadium Background

North Korea U20 W vs South Korea U20 W

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U20 Thammasat Stadium, Rangsit
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Pak Il-Sim
Assist: Jong Pok-Yong
34' Event
Kang Ryu-Mi
Assist: So Ryu-Gyong
38'
Jung Da-Bin

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with North Korea U20 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
North Korea U20 W
6%
Draws
4%
South Korea U20 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: North Korea U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Korea U20 W haven't matched North Korea U20 W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans North Korea U20 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • North Korea U20 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor North Korea U20 W, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors North Korea U20 W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
North Korea U20 W Clean Sheet 68%
South Korea U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea U20 W South Korea U20 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 25 12
Draws 2 2
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 7.63 2.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 7.63 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
North Korea U20 W vs South Korea U20 W
3:0
Apr 8, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
North Korea U20 W vs South Korea U20 W
5:0
Mar 13, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
North Korea U20 W vs South Korea U20 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pak Il-Sim
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kang Ryu-Mi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 5.87
Avg xA / game 3.81

South Korea U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U20 W 95 / 100
South Korea U20 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea U20 W South Korea U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Korea U20 W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: South Korea U20 W conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: North Korea U20 W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Korea U20 W VS South Korea U20 W
7.63 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

North Korea U20 W

(Home)
18 Apr
Japan U20 W
1 : 0
North Korea U20 W
15 Apr
North Korea U20 W
3 : 0
South Korea U20 W
12 Apr
North Korea U20 W
3 : 0
Australia U20 W
08 Apr
North Korea U20 W
5 : 0
South Korea U20 W
05 Apr
Uzbekistan U20 W
0 : 6
North Korea U20 W
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South Korea U20 W

(Away)
09 Jun
South Korea U20 W
1 : 2
Finland U23 W
06 Jun
Brazil U20 W
3 : 0
South Korea U20 W
03 Jun
Portugal U20 W
2 : 0
South Korea U20 W
15 Apr
North Korea U20 W
3 : 0
South Korea U20 W
12 Apr
Thailand U20 W
1 : 2
South Korea U20 W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
China U20 W2
Uzbekistan U20 W1
Japan U20 W4
Vietnam U20 W0
North Korea U20 W3
Australia U20 W0
Thailand U20 W1
South Korea U20 W2
Semi-finals
China U20 W0
Japan U20 W2
North Korea U20 W3
South Korea U20 W0
Final
Japan U20 W1
North Korea U20 W0