Sport Picks

Stadium Background

North Korea U23 vs Indonesia U23

Asia Asia

Asian Games
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Kim P.
10'
Kim Kuk-Jin
16'
Irianto R.

AI Match Summary

The Asian Games game between North Korea U23 and Indonesia U23 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Korea U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
North Korea U23
22%
Draws
18%
Indonesia U23
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: North Korea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Indonesia U23's 2.13 goals per match outpaces what North Korea U23 have produced (1.67).
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on North Korea U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
North Korea U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Indonesia U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea U23 Indonesia U23
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.67 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2023 Asian Games
North Korea U23 vs Indonesia U23
1:0
Sep 26, 2014 Asian Games
North Korea U23 vs Indonesia U23
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Yu-Song
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Indonesia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U23 68 / 100
Indonesia U23 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea U23 Indonesia U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: North Korea U23 scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Indonesia U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

North Korea U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

North Korea U23 VS Indonesia U23
1.67 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1China U2332109:17
2India U2331113:64
3Myanmar U2331112:54
4Bangladesh U2330120:21
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iran U2332107:07
2Saudi Arabia U2332106:17
3Vietnam U2331025:93
4Mongolia U2330032:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uzbekistan U2322003:16
2Hong Kong U2320021:30
3Afghanistan U2300000:00
4Syria U2300000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U2322004:16
2Palestine U2320110:11
3Qatar U2320111:31
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea U23330016:09
2Bahrain U2330212:52
3Thailand U2330212:62
4Kuwait U2330212:112
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Korea U2333004:09
2Kyrgyzstan U2331024:43
3Indonesia U2331022:23
4Chinese Taipei U2331022:63