Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024

Tajikistan U23

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the AFC Asian Cup U23 2024. Form suggests where the edge lies here. North Korea U23 have averaged 1.67 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Tajikistan U23's 0.63 scored and 1.88 conceded. Past meetings favor North Korea U23 slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.77 - 0.81) back North Korea U23 to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

North Korea U23

Draws

Tajikistan U23

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: North Korea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to North Korea U23 lately — more wins on the board than Tajikistan U23.
Model gives North Korea U23 a 90% chance of winning this.
North Korea U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

North Korea U23 Clean Sheet 20%

Tajikistan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	North Korea U23	Tajikistan U23
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	13	8
Draws	7	6
Losses	7	14
Goals Scored	1.67	0.63
Goals Conceded	1	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.67	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23

North Korea U23 vs Tajikistan U23

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U23 85 / 100

Tajikistan U23 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

North Korea U23 Tajikistan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: North Korea U23 scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Tajikistan U23 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

North Korea U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tajikistan U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Korea U23 VS Tajikistan U23

1.67 Goals Scored 0.63

1 Goals Conceded 1.88

100% Over 1.5 50%

33% Over 2.5 50%

33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

North Korea U23

(Home)

31 Mar

North Korea U23

3 : 1

Thailand U23

28 Mar

China U23

1 : 1

North Korea U23

25 Mar

Vietnam U23

1 : 1

North Korea U23

01 Oct

Japan U23

2 : 1

North Korea U23

27 Sept

North Korea U23

2 : 0

Bahrain U23

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Tajikistan U23

(Away)

09 Jun

China U23

3 : 0

Tajikistan U23

06 Jun

China U23

1 : 0

Tajikistan U23

31 Mar

India U23

0 : 1

Tajikistan U23

25 Mar

Bhutan U23

0 : 1

Tajikistan U23

09 Sept

Tajikistan U23

0 : 1

Syria U23

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