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North Korea U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games Wave Stadium Kariya, Kariya
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Match Events

3'
Ri Il-song
27'
Al Mansouri M.
37'
Hunt M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Asian Games matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
North Korea U23
35%
Draws
30%
United Arab Emirates U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • United Arab Emirates U23 have won more games recently than North Korea U23.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on North Korea U23 taking it.
  • Regular Asian Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
North Korea U23 Clean Sheet 20%
United Arab Emirates U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea U23 United Arab Emirates U23
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.37 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Asian Games
North Korea U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
0:0
Jan 13, 2020 AFC Asian Cup U23
United Arab Emirates U23 vs North Korea U23
2:0
Aug 27, 2018 Asian Games
United Arab Emirates U23 vs North Korea U23
2:1
Sep 28, 2014 Asian Games
North Korea U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
1:0
Nov 19, 2010 Asian Games
United Arab Emirates U23 vs North Korea U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U23 40 / 100
United Arab Emirates U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea U23 United Arab Emirates U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Korea U23 scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

United Arab Emirates U23 let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

North Korea U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

North Korea U23 VS United Arab Emirates U23
1.43 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

North Korea U23

(Home)
26 Sept
Japan U23
1 : 0
North Korea U23
23 Sept
Iran U23
1 : 4
North Korea U23
20 Sept
North Korea U23
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U23
16 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
North Korea U23
31 Mar
North Korea U23
3 : 1
Thailand U23
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United Arab Emirates U23

(Away)
23 Sept
China U23
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U23
20 Sept
North Korea U23
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U23
16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3
Iran U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5
United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U23
1 : 1
United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Thailand U23 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
4 Hong Kong U23 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 North Korea U23 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Iran U23 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 United Arab Emirates U23 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Vietnam U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Philippines U23 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Kuwait U23 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Saudi Arabia U23 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Qatar U23 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)