Sport Picks

Stadium Background

North Korea vs Macau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Sat, Dec 14, 2024
VS
06:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

North Korea host Macau in the EAFF E-1 Football Championship. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Macau have shipped 2.41 goals a game lately, while North Korea have conceded 1.42 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, North Korea have won 2 to Macau's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 14, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.77 - 0.57) back North Korea to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
North Korea
20%
Draws
0%
Macau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: North Korea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and North Korea come out ahead of Macau on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans North Korea's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this EAFF E-1 Football Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors North Korea here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
North Korea Clean Sheet 20%
Macau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea Macau
Matches Played 24 27
Wins 7 3
Draws 6 2
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.38 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2024 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
North Korea vs Macau
0:0
Jun 21, 2007 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
North Korea vs Macau
7:1
Dec 21, 1980 World Championship
North Korea vs Macau
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea 85 / 100
Macau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea Macau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Away concern: Macau has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

North Korea's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Scoring Trends

North Korea VS Macau
0.75 Goals Scored 0.4
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.8
25% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

North Korea

(Home)
10 Jun
Iran
3 : 0
North Korea
05 Jun
North Korea
2 : 2
Kyrgyzstan
25 Mar
North Korea
1 : 2
United Arab Emirates
20 Mar
Qatar
5 : 1
North Korea
14 Mar
Jordan
1 : 1
North Korea
Page 1 of 5

Macau

(Away)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
19 Mar
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Macau
14 Dec
Macau
1 : 2
Guam
10 Sept
Macau
0 : 1
Brunei
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guam 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Macau 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hong Kong 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Chinese Taipei 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
3 Mongolia 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship (Play Offs)