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North Korea W vs China W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games Women Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa, Shizuoka
North Korea W Logo

North Korea W

2 - 0
FT
China W Logo

China W

Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Zhang Rui
34'
Sun Fangxin
49'
Xiao Z.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
North Korea W
20%
Draws
33%
China W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: North Korea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to North Korea W lately — more wins on the board than China W.
  • Model gives North Korea W a 47% chance of winning this.
  • North Korea W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor China W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
North Korea W Clean Sheet 16%
China W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea W China W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 5.07 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Asian Games Women
North Korea W vs China W
2:0
Mar 9, 2026 Asian Cup Women
North Korea W vs China W
1:2
Oct 26, 2023 Olympic Games Women
China W vs North Korea W
1:2
Dec 17, 2019 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
North Korea W vs China W
0:0
Aug 22, 2018 Asian Games Women
North Korea W vs China W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Myong Yu-Jong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

China W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea W 84 / 100
China W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea W China W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: North Korea W scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

China W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

North Korea W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

North Korea W VS China W
4 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

North Korea W

(Home)
02 Oct
North Korea W
2 : 3
Japan W
29 Sept
North Korea W
2 : 0
China W
25 Sept
North Korea W
5 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
21 Sept
South Korea W
1 : 1
North Korea W
17 Sept
Myanmar W
0 : 8
North Korea W
Page 1 of 6

China W

(Away)
02 Oct
China W
0 : 1
South Korea W
29 Sept
North Korea W
2 : 0
China W
25 Sept
China W
1 : 0
Vietnam W
21 Sept
China W
5 : 1
Philippines W
17 Sept
Uzbekistan W
1 : 1
China W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
North Korea W 5
Chinese Taipei W 1
China W 1
Vietnam W 0
Japan W 4
Philippines W 0
South Korea W 6
Uzbekistan W 3
Semi-finals
North Korea W 2
China W 0
Japan W 2
South Korea W 0
Final
North Korea W 2
Japan W 3
China W 0
South Korea W 1