Sport Picks
North Korea W vs Japan W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Asia
Asian Games Women Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa, Shizuoka 
Match Events
32'
32'
Ueno M.
40'
40'
Sub
Kim Kyong-Yong In: Kum Jong
Out: Kim Kyong-Yong
47'
47'
Chae Un-Yong
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- North Korea W's 5.07 goals per match outpaces what Japan W have produced (2.9).
- North Korea W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Japan W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
North Korea W Clean Sheet 68%
Japan W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North Korea W | Japan W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 20 | 20 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 5.07 | 2.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.66 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2026 Asian Games Women
North Korea W vs Japan W
2:3
Feb 28, 2024 Olympic Games Women
Japan W vs North Korea W
2:1
Feb 24, 2024 Olympic Games Women
North Korea W vs Japan W
0:0
Oct 6, 2023 Asian Games Women
Japan W vs North Korea W
4:1
Dec 11, 2019 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Japan W vs North Korea W
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North Korea W Compare
Top Goalscorer Chae Un-Yong
1 Goals Assists Leader Jon Ryong-Jong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.33
Japan W Compare
Top Goalscorer Ueno M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nishio H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North Korea W 95 / 100
Japan W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North Korea W Japan W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick North Korea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
North Korea W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: North Korea W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Japan W has conceded goals in 45% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
North Korea W VS Japan W
4.57 Goals Scored 3
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 63%
71% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
North Korea W
(Home) 02 Oct
North Korea W
2 : 3 Japan W
29 Sept
North Korea W
2 : 0 China W
25 Sept
North Korea W
5 : 1 Chinese Taipei W
21 Sept
South Korea W
1 : 1 North Korea W
17 Sept
Myanmar W
0 : 8 North Korea W
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
North Korea W
2 : 3 Japan W
29 Sept
North Korea W
2 : 0 China W
25 Sept
North Korea W
5 : 1 Chinese Taipei W
14 Sept
North Korea W
10 : 0 Bangladesh W
09 Mar
North Korea W
1 : 2 China W
Page 1 of 3
Japan W
(Away) 02 Oct
North Korea W
2 : 3 Japan W
29 Sept
Japan W
2 : 0 South Korea W
25 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0 Philippines W
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0 Chinese Taipei W
17 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 8 Japan W
Page 1 of 7
02 Oct
North Korea W
2 : 3 Japan W
17 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 8 Japan W
18 Apr
USA W
3 : 0 Japan W
15 Apr
USA W
0 : 1 Japan W
11 Apr
USA W
2 : 1 Japan W
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
North Korea W 5
Chinese Taipei W 1
China W 1
Vietnam W 0
Japan W 4
Philippines W 0
South Korea W 6
Uzbekistan W 3
Semi-finals
North Korea W 2
China W 0
Japan W 2
South Korea W 0
Final
North Korea W 2
Japan W 3
China W 0
South Korea W 1
