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Stadium Background

North Macedonia vs Latvia

World World

Friendly International 2025 National Arena Toshe Proeski, Skopje
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Ikaunieks J.
45'
Serafimov N.
46'
Sub
Cernomordijs A. In: Melniks D.
Out: Cernomordijs A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between North Macedonia and Latvia finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
North Macedonia
20%
Draws
60%
Latvia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Latvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • North Macedonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Latvia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • North Macedonia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
North Macedonia Clean Sheet 21%
Latvia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Macedonia Latvia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.17 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 Friendly International
North Macedonia vs Latvia
0:0
Nov 14, 2024 UEFA Nations League
North Macedonia vs Latvia
1:0
Oct 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Latvia vs North Macedonia
0:3
Sep 9, 2019 Euro
Latvia vs North Macedonia
0:2
Mar 21, 2019 Euro
North Macedonia vs Latvia
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Macedonia 10 / 100
Latvia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Macedonia Latvia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latvia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Macedonia scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Latvia has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Latvia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

North Macedonia VS Latvia
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

North Macedonia

(Home)
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0
North Macedonia
29 May
Bosnia & Herzegovina
0 : 0
North Macedonia
31 Mar
Ireland
0 : 0
North Macedonia
26 Mar
Denmark
4 : 0
North Macedonia
18 Nov
Wales
7 : 1
North Macedonia
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Latvia

(Away)
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1
Faroe Islands
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1
Latvia
31 Mar
Latvia
1 : 0
Gibraltar
26 Mar
Gibraltar
0 : 1
Latvia
16 Nov
Serbia
2 : 1
Latvia
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