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North Macedonia vs Switzerland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League National Arena Toshe Proeski, Skopje
North Macedonia Logo

North Macedonia

0 - 3
FT
Switzerland Logo

Switzerland

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Freuler R.
Assist: Amdouni Z.
36'
Ilievski B.
41' Event
Amdouni Z.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Switzerland in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Switzerland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
North Macedonia
15%
Draws
85%
Switzerland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Switzerland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • North Macedonia haven't matched Switzerland's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Switzerland taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
North Macedonia Clean Sheet 10%
Switzerland Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Macedonia Switzerland
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 17
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.97 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Switzerland vs North Macedonia
3:0
Sep 26, 2026 UEFA Nations League
North Macedonia vs Switzerland
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Macedonia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Switzerland Compare

Top Goalscorer Amdouni Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Freuler R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Macedonia 10 / 100
Switzerland 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Macedonia Switzerland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Switzerland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Macedonia's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Switzerland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Switzerland has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

North Macedonia VS Switzerland
0 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

North Macedonia

(Home)
06 Oct
Switzerland
3 : 0
North Macedonia
03 Oct
North Macedonia
0 : 2
Scotland
29 Sept
Slovenia
2 : 0
North Macedonia
26 Sept
North Macedonia
0 : 3
Switzerland
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0
North Macedonia
Page 1 of 6

Switzerland

(Away)
06 Oct
Switzerland
3 : 0
North Macedonia
03 Oct
Switzerland
2 : 1
Slovenia
29 Sept
Scotland
0 : 3
Switzerland
26 Sept
North Macedonia
0 : 3
Switzerland
12 Jul
Argentina
3 : 1
Switzerland
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Slovenia 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Scotland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 North Macedonia 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
2 Hungary 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Ukraine 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Georgia 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)