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North Macedonia W vs Latvia W

Europe Europe

Euro Women Trening Centar Petar Miloševski
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

North Macedonia W play Latvia W in the Euro Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, North Macedonia W averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. Latvia W averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, North Macedonia W won 2, Latvia W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for North Macedonia W and 2.06 for Latvia W. This points to a Latvia W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
North Macedonia W
15%
Draws
53%
Latvia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Latvia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • North Macedonia W picked up more points recently compared to Latvia W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
North Macedonia W Clean Sheet 10%
Latvia W Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Macedonia W Latvia W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.9 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Latvia W vs North Macedonia W
1:1
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
North Macedonia W vs Latvia W
1:2
Jul 12, 2024 Euro Women
North Macedonia W vs Latvia W
1:2
Apr 5, 2024 Euro Women
Latvia W vs North Macedonia W
3:4
Sep 1, 2022 World Cup Women
North Macedonia W vs Latvia W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Macedonia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Andonova N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Latvia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Poluhovica A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sevcova O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Macedonia W 31 / 100
Latvia W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Macedonia W Latvia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latvia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Latvia W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

North Macedonia W attacking → ← attacking Latvia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Macedonia W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Latvia W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

North Macedonia W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Latvia W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 37
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belarus W660019:018
2Georgia W63126:710
3Lithuania W62135:107
4Cyprus W60061:140
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Slovenia W660026:018
2Latvia W63038:169
3North Macedonia W621310:177
4Moldova W60154:151
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Greece W651017:416
2Montenegro W631221:1010
3Faroe Islands W630311:99
4Andorra W60062:280
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Romania W660016:118
2Bulgaria W62136:87
3Armenia W62048:186
4Kazakhstan W61145:84
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Albania W43018:49
2Luxembourg W41215:65
3Estonia W40223:62