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North Star vs Ipswich

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League O'Callaghan Park, Zillmere
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Veal N.
34' Event
Buckman L.
59' Event
Theodore P.

AI Match Summary

Ipswich in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ipswich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
North Star
20%
Draws
23%
Ipswich
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: North Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • North Star haven't matched Ipswich's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on North Star taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
North Star Clean Sheet 18%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Star Ipswich
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs North Star
3:2
Apr 18, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs Ipswich
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Theodore P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Veal N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buckman L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Star 58 / 100
Ipswich 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Star Ipswich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: North Star scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Ipswich let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: North Star remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

North Star VS Ipswich
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

North Star

(Home)
15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1
Caboolture
09 Aug
North Star
1 : 0
Robina City
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0
Capalaba FC
18 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 2
North Star
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
Page 1 of 6

Ipswich

(Away)
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Ipswich
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
22 Jul
Ipswich
0 : 5
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)