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North Star vs Ipswich

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League O'Callaghan Park
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Match Events

23' Event
Veal N.
34' Event
Buckman L.
59' Event
Theodore P.

AI Match Summary

Ipswich in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ipswich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
North Star
33%
Draws
27%
Ipswich
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: North Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • North Star haven't matched Ipswich's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on North Star taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
North Star Clean Sheet 10%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Star Ipswich
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs Ipswich
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Theodore P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Veal N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buckman L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Star 38 / 100
Ipswich 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Star Ipswich

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: North Star scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Ipswich has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Ipswich has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

North Star VS Ipswich
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadbeach Utd.18144047:1646
2Brisbane Strikers18143144:1445
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1885536:2429
4Robina City1884630:2028
5Ipswich1884629:2728
6Caboolture1883735:3127
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
9Logan Lightning1872933:3523
10North Star18331216:3712
11St. George Willawong18311410:4110
12Capalaba FC18221417:518