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North Star vs Redlands

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League O'Callaghan Park, Zillmere
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Kneller N. B.
84' Event
Balarezo J.
90' Event
Park O.

AI Match Summary

Redlands in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Redlands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
North Star
35%
Draws
24%
Redlands
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: North Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Redlands have won more games recently than North Star.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Redlands have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
North Star Clean Sheet 10%
Redlands Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Star Redlands
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs Redlands
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs North Star
5:0
Aug 18, 2012 Brisbane Premier League
Redlands vs North Star
7:3
May 12, 2012 Brisbane Premier League
North Star vs Redlands
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Park O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Redlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Kneller N. B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balarezo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Star 29 / 100
Redlands 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Star Redlands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redlands let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.75 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: North Star scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: North Star stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Star VS Redlands
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

North Star

(Home)
15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1
Caboolture
09 Aug
North Star
1 : 0
Robina City
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0
Capalaba FC
18 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 2
North Star
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
Page 1 of 6

Redlands

(Away)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Brisbane Strikers
3 : 0
Redlands
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2
Caboolture
19 Jul
Robina City
1 : 1
Redlands
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)