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North Star vs Redlands

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League O'Callaghan Park
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Kneller N. B.
84' Event
Balarezo J.
90' Event
Park O.

AI Match Summary

Redlands in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Redlands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
North Star
6%
Draws
90%
Redlands
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Redlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Redlands have won more games recently than North Star.
  • Redlands are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Redlands have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
North Star Clean Sheet 10%
Redlands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Star Redlands
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs Redlands
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs North Star
5:0
Aug 18, 2012 Brisbane Premier League
Redlands vs North Star
7:3
May 12, 2012 Brisbane Premier League
North Star vs Redlands
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Park O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Redlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Kneller N. B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balarezo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Star 10 / 100
Redlands 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Star Redlands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RED Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redlands let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.75 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: North Star scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: North Star stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Star VS Redlands
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers19153146:1548
2Broadbeach Utd.19144148:1846
3Ipswich1994632:2931
4Sunshine Coast Wanderers1986538:2630
5Robina City1884630:2028
6Caboolture1983835:3227
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Logan Lightning1973935:3724
9Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
10St. George Willawong19411411:4113
11North Star19331318:4012
12Capalaba FC18221417:518