Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Choctaw Stadium, Arlington, TX

North Texas

0 - 2

Austin FC II

Our Tip

Match Events

Alastuey J.

Assist: Burton M.

18'

Barro D.

22'

Louis R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between North Texas and Austin FC II finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Austin FC II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

North Texas

15%

Draws

49%

Austin FC II

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austin FC II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Austin FC II come out ahead of North Texas on wins alone.
North Texas are the model's pick here, at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

North Texas Clean Sheet 12%

Austin FC II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	North Texas	Austin FC II
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	22
Draws	0	0
Losses	16	8
Goals Scored	1.6	1.97
Goals Conceded	1.7	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs Austin FC II

1:0

May 3, 2026 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs Austin FC II

0:2

Mar 16, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Austin FC II vs North Texas

1:0

Aug 9, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Austin FC II vs North Texas

1:2

Jun 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs Austin FC II

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Texas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Austin FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Alastuey J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Burton M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Texas 40 / 100

Austin FC II 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

North Texas Austin FC II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Texas's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: North Texas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Austin FC II let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

North Texas VS Austin FC II

1.88 Goals Scored 1.5

2 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

North Texas

(Home)

20 Sept

Colorado Rapids 2

2 : 1

North Texas

14 Sept

North Texas

1 : 0

Houston Dynamo 2

10 Sept

North Texas

2 : 3

Houston Dynamo 2

05 Sept

North Texas

4 : 1

Real Monarchs

29 Aug

St. Louis City 2

1 : 2

North Texas

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Austin FC II

(Away)

20 Sept

St. Louis City 2

0 : 2

Austin FC II

14 Sept

Austin FC II

1 : 0

Colorado Rapids 2

04 Sept

Houston Dynamo 2

0 : 2

Austin FC II

30 Aug

Portland Timbers 2

2 : 1

Austin FC II

24 Aug

Austin FC II

1 : 0

San Jose Earthquakes II

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