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Stadium Background

North Texas vs Los Angeles FC 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Choctaw Stadium, Arlington, TX
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
2 - 3
12:45 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Diaz C.
Assist: Lambert L.
22' Event
Kosakoff C.
Assist: Rodriguez E.
32'
Sub
Scally E. In: Failla B.
Out: Scally E.

AI Match Summary

Los Angeles FC 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Los Angeles FC 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
North Texas
15%
Draws
21%
Los Angeles FC 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Texas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to North Texas lately — more wins on the board than Los Angeles FC 2.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on North Texas taking it.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
North Texas Clean Sheet 10%
Los Angeles FC 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Texas Los Angeles FC 2
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 0 0
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.68 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.71 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Los Angeles FC 2
2:3
Oct 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Los Angeles FC 2 vs North Texas
2:4
Aug 25, 2025 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Los Angeles FC 2
0:4
Jun 3, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Los Angeles FC 2 vs North Texas
0:4
Jul 3, 2023 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Los Angeles FC 2
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Texas Compare

Top Goalscorer Nys E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Los Angeles FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kosakoff C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Texas 74 / 100
Los Angeles FC 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Texas Los Angeles FC 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Texas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Angeles FC 2 has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

North Texas's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

North Texas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Texas VS Los Angeles FC 2
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

North Texas

(Home)
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids 2
2 : 1
North Texas
14 Sept
North Texas
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo 2
10 Sept
North Texas
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
05 Sept
North Texas
4 : 1
Real Monarchs
29 Aug
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2
North Texas
Page 1 of 7

Los Angeles FC 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Minnesota United 2
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC 2
14 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 5
Los Angeles FC 2
06 Sept
Los Angeles FC 2
1 : 2
Ventura County
31 Aug
San Jose Earthquakes II
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC 2
27 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
4 : 1
Los Angeles FC 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)