Sport Picks
Northampton vs Doncaster
England
League One 2025/2026 Sixfields Stadium, Northampton 
Match Events
45'
45'
Burroughs J.
50'
50'
Lee E.
57'
57'
Adelakun H.
Assist: Bailey O.
AI Match Summary
The League One 2025/2026 game between Northampton and Doncaster finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Doncaster.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Northampton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Doncaster carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Northampton's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Northampton Clean Sheet 13%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Northampton | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 League One
Northampton vs Doncaster
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 League One
Doncaster vs Northampton
1:2
Mar 25, 2023 League Two
Doncaster vs Northampton
0:2
Aug 27, 2022 League Two
Northampton vs Doncaster
0:1
Mar 13, 2021 League One
Doncaster vs Northampton
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Northampton Compare
Top Goalscorer McGeehan C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Doncaster Compare
Top Goalscorer Lee E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Adelakun H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Northampton 66 / 100
Doncaster 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Northampton Doncaster
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Northampton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Doncaster has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Northampton went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Northampton scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Northampton VS Doncaster
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Northampton
(Home) 08 Aug
Leicester
1 : 0 Northampton
01 Aug
Solihull Moors
2 : 4 Northampton
28 Jul
Cambridge Utd
0 : 0 Northampton
22 Jul
Southend
1 : 3 Northampton
18 Jul
Northampton
0 : 0 Coventry
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Northampton
0 : 0 Coventry
02 May
Northampton
2 : 3 Plymouth
28 Apr
Northampton
0 : 1 Barnsley
18 Apr
Northampton
1 : 3 Doncaster
06 Apr
Northampton
1 : 3 Wigan
Page 1 of 3
Doncaster
(Away) 08 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 2 Doncaster
01 Aug
Doncaster
0 : 1 Lincoln City
29 Jul
Doncaster
0 : 2 Wolves
25 Jul
Gainsborough
0 : 0 Doncaster
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2 Doncaster
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 2 Doncaster
25 Jul
Gainsborough
0 : 0 Doncaster
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2 Doncaster
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2 Doncaster
16 Jul
Glenavon
0 : 5 Doncaster
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
