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Northampton vs Wycombe

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Sixfields Stadium, Northampton
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Edwards K.
Assist: Wheatley E.
40' Event
Fornah T.
46'
Sub
Boyd-Munce C. In: Leahy L.
Out: Boyd-Munce C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Northampton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Northampton
22%
Draws
60%
Wycombe
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Wycombe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Northampton haven't matched Wycombe's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Wycombe taking it.
  • Wycombe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wycombe, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Northampton Clean Sheet 10%
Wycombe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northampton Wycombe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 League One
Northampton vs Wycombe
1:2
Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Northampton vs Wycombe
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 League One
Wycombe vs Northampton
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 League One
Wycombe vs Northampton
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 League One
Northampton vs Wycombe
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northampton Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fornah T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Wycombe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northampton 18 / 100
Wycombe 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northampton Wycombe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WYC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wycombe let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Northampton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Northampton scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Northampton VS Wycombe
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Northampton

(Home)
28 Jul
Cambridge Utd
0 : 0
Northampton
22 Jul
Southend
1 : 3
Northampton
18 Jul
Northampton
0 : 0
Coventry
11 Jul
Leicester
3 : 0
Northampton
02 May
Northampton
2 : 3
Plymouth
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Wycombe

(Away)
25 Jul
Wycombe
3 : 1
Portsmouth
25 Jul
Wycombe
3 : 2
Yeovil
21 Jul
Farnham
2 : 1
Wycombe
21 Jul
QPR
1 : 0
Wycombe
11 Jul
Wycombe
4 : 0
Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Lincoln City0
Huddersfield2
Salford2
Rotherham7
Doncaster5
Chesterfield1
Tranmere0
Fleetwood Town3
Bolton3
Bradford City0
Port Vale5
Barnsley0
Crewe1
Stockport County2
Harrogate4
Blackpool2
Luton4
Exeter0
Swindon1
Peterborough0
Bristol Rovers3
Cambridge Utd2
Leyton Orient0
Plymouth1
Cardiff1
AFC Wimbledon5
Colchester0
West Ham U211
Northampton2
Wycombe0
Stevenage1
Walsall2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield3
Rotherham0
Doncaster3
Fleetwood Town1
Bolton0
Port Vale1
Stockport County2
Harrogate1
Luton1
Swindon2
Bristol Rovers3
Plymouth4
AFC Wimbledon4
West Ham U212
Northampton4
Walsall2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield1
Doncaster2
Port Vale0
Stockport County4
Luton2
Plymouth1
AFC Wimbledon1
Northampton2
Semi-finals
Doncaster0
Stockport County1
Luton2
Northampton1
Final
Stockport County1
Luton3