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Northampton vs Wycombe

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Sixfields Stadium, Northampton
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Edwards K.
Assist: Wheatley E.
40' Event
Fornah T.
46'
Sub
Boyd-Munce C. In: Leahy L.
Out: Boyd-Munce C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Northampton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Northampton
30%
Draws
47%
Wycombe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wycombe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Northampton haven't matched Wycombe's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Wycombe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wycombe, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Northampton Clean Sheet 17%
Wycombe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northampton Wycombe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.72 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 League One
Northampton vs Wycombe
1:2
Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Northampton vs Wycombe
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 League One
Wycombe vs Northampton
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 League One
Wycombe vs Northampton
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 League One
Northampton vs Wycombe
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northampton Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fornah T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Wycombe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northampton 31 / 100
Wycombe 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northampton Wycombe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wycombe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wycombe let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Northampton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Northampton scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Northampton VS Wycombe
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Northampton

(Home)
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1
Rotherham
12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0
Northampton
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0
Newport
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1
Crawley Town
29 Aug
Gillingham
1 : 1
Northampton
Page 1 of 6

Wycombe

(Away)
19 Sept
Wigan
0 : 1
Wycombe
15 Sept
Wycombe
2 : 1
Chelsea U21
12 Sept
Leyton Orient
2 : 3
Wycombe
05 Sept
Wycombe
3 : 3
Milton Keynes Dons
01 Sept
Wycombe
1 : 2
Sheffield Wed
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3