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Northern Indiana vs Dayton

USA USA

USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Northern Indiana and Dayton finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Northern Indiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Northern Indiana
22%
Draws
18%
Dayton
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Northern Indiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Northern Indiana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Northern Indiana are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Northern Indiana have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Northern Indiana Clean Sheet 17%
Dayton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Indiana Dayton
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 USL League Two
Northern Indiana vs Dayton
3:2
Jun 20, 2026 USL League Two
Dayton vs Northern Indiana
4:2
Jun 6, 2026 USL League Two
Northern Indiana vs Dayton
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Indiana 57 / 100
Dayton 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Indiana Dayton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Northern Indiana has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Northern Indiana's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Dayton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Northern Indiana VS Dayton
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%