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Stadium Background

Northern Ireland U16 vs Finland U16

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
McCourt G.
19' Event
Haikala A.
60' Event
O'Neill C.

AI Match Summary

Northern Ireland U16 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Northern Ireland U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Northern Ireland U16
6%
Draws
90%
Finland U16
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Finland U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Finland U16 lately — more wins on the board than Northern Ireland U16.
  • Model gives Finland U16 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Northern Ireland U16 Clean Sheet 14%
Finland U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Ireland U16 Finland U16
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2024 Friendly International
Northern Ireland U16 vs Finland U16
1:3
Sep 26, 2023 Friendly International
Northern Ireland U16 vs Finland U16
3:2
Sep 17, 2020 Friendly International
Northern Ireland U16 vs Finland U16
0:0
Sep 15, 2020 Friendly International
Northern Ireland U16 vs Finland U16
0:0
Sep 19, 2019 Friendly International
Finland U16 vs Northern Ireland U16
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Ireland U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer McCourt G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O'Neill C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Finland U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Haikala A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tuomi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland U16 10 / 100
Finland U16 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Ireland U16 Finland U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Ireland U16 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Finland U16 conceded in 76% of 25 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Northern Ireland U16 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Northern Ireland U16 VS Finland U16
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%