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Northern Ireland U16 vs Poland U16

World World

Friendly International 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Northern Ireland U16 play Poland U16 in the Friendly International 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Northern Ireland U16 averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Poland U16 averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Northern Ireland U16 won 1, Poland U16 won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 1, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Northern Ireland U16 and 1.42 for Poland U16. This points to a Poland U16 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Northern Ireland U16
18%
Draws
52%
Poland U16
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Poland U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Northern Ireland U16 picked up more points recently compared to Poland U16.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.42 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Northern Ireland U16 Clean Sheet 17%
Poland U16 Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Ireland U16 Poland U16
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 9 23
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.83 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2023 Friendly International
Poland U16 vs Northern Ireland U16
3:0
Aug 25, 2022 Friendly International
Poland U16 vs Northern Ireland U16
1:0
Aug 23, 2022 Friendly International
Poland U16 vs Northern Ireland U16
1:1
Oct 16, 2019 Friendly International
Northern Ireland U16 vs Poland U16
0:1
Oct 14, 2019 Friendly International
Northern Ireland U16 vs Poland U16
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Ireland U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Poland U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Klockner J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland U16 30 / 100
Poland U16 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Ireland U16 Poland U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Poland U16 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Northern Ireland U16 attacking → ← attacking Poland U16

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Ireland U16 scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Poland U16 let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Northern Ireland U16 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Poland U16 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 73
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.83 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00