Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Northern Ireland U21 vs Malta U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 The BetMcLean Oval, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kirk M.
Assist: Russell J.
33' Event
Forbes M.
Assist: McStravick L.
50'
Azzopardi J.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Northern Ireland U21 and Malta U21 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Northern Ireland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Northern Ireland U21
15%
Draws
0%
Malta U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Northern Ireland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Northern Ireland U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Northern Ireland U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Northern Ireland U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Malta U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Ireland U21 Malta U21
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 3
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1 0.46
Goals Conceded 1.52 3.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Euro U21
Malta U21 vs Northern Ireland U21
0:4
Oct 9, 2025 Euro U21
Northern Ireland U21 vs Malta U21
2:0
Nov 16, 2021 Euro U21
Northern Ireland U21 vs Malta U21
0:2
Sep 3, 2021 Euro U21
Malta U21 vs Northern Ireland U21
4:1
Sep 4, 2020 Euro U21
Malta U21 vs Northern Ireland U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Ireland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirk M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forbes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Malta U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland U21 95 / 100
Malta U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Ireland U21 Malta U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northern Ireland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malta U21 has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Malta U21 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Northern Ireland U21 scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Northern Ireland U21 VS Malta U21
1 Goals Scored 0.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Northern Ireland U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Malta U21
0 : 4
Northern Ireland U21
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Latvia U21
1 : 3
Northern Ireland U21
27 Mar
Germany U21
3 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
18 Nov
Greece U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
Page 1 of 6

Malta U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Malta U21
0 : 4
Northern Ireland U21
04 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 0
Malta U21
31 Mar
Georgia U21
4 : 1
Malta U21
27 Mar
Greece U21
5 : 0
Malta U21
18 Nov
Malta U21
0 : 1
Latvia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 8 7 0 1 27:4 21
2 Finland U21 8 6 1 1 28:3 19
3 Romania U21 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
4 Kosovo U21 8 3 2 3 15:6 11
5 Cyprus U21 8 1 0 7 5:27 3
6 San Marino U21 8 0 0 8 0:42 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 8 6 1 1 29:2 19
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 3 1 16:4 15
3 Bulgaria U21 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 8 1 4 3 6:19 7
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 7 5 2 0 22:5 17
2 Switzerland U21 8 5 2 1 15:5 17
3 Faroe Islands U21 8 4 0 4 8:14 12
4 Iceland U21 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
5 Luxembourg U21 7 1 1 5 7:19 4
6 Estonia U21 8 0 2 6 9:23 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 8 7 1 0 22:4 22
2 Slovakia U21 8 5 1 2 15:12 16
3 Ireland U21 8 4 2 2 9:10 14
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 8 1 1 6 6:14 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 8 7 0 1 26:4 21
2 Greece U21 8 7 0 1 24:4 21
3 Northern Ireland U21 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
4 Georgia U21 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
5 Latvia U21 8 1 2 5 4:16 5
6 Malta U21 8 0 0 8 1:32 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Turkey U21 7 3 3 1 9:8 12
3 Ukraine U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
4 Hungary U21 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 6 4 1 1 12:2 13
2 Denmark U21 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
3 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)