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Northern Ireland W vs Portugal W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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World Cup Women Inver Park, Larne
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Match Events

5'
McMaster S.
8' Event
Encarnacao T.
(Penalty)
10'
Kerr A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Portugal W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Northern Ireland W
15%
Draws
57%
Portugal W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portugal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Portugal W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Portugal W taking it.
  • Portugal W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Portugal W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Portugal W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Northern Ireland W Clean Sheet 11%
Portugal W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Ireland W Portugal W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2024 Euro Women
Northern Ireland W vs Portugal W
1:2
May 31, 2024 Euro Women
Portugal W vs Northern Ireland W
4:0
Jan 19, 2017 Friendly International Women
Portugal W vs Northern Ireland W
0:1
Jan 17, 2017 Friendly International Women
Portugal W vs Northern Ireland W
1:0
Mar 15, 2005 Algarve Cup Women
Portugal W vs Northern Ireland W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Ireland W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Portugal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinto F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland W 10 / 100
Portugal W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Ireland W Portugal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Ireland W's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Portugal W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Northern Ireland W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Northern Ireland W VS Portugal W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Northern Ireland W

(Home)
09 Oct
Northern Ireland W
0 : 4
Portugal W
09 Jun
Northern Ireland W
1 : 2
Switzerland W
05 Jun
Turkey W
2 : 1
Northern Ireland W
18 Apr
Malta W
2 : 4
Northern Ireland W
14 Apr
Northern Ireland W
4 : 0
Malta W
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Portugal W

(Away)
09 Oct
Northern Ireland W
0 : 4
Portugal W
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1
Portugal W
05 Jun
Portugal W
5 : 0
Latvia W
18 Apr
Slovakia W
1 : 2
Portugal W
14 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 3
Portugal W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Slovakia W 1
Ukraine W 3
Greece W 1
England W 3
Finland W 3
Serbia W 1
Belarus W 0
Italy W 2
Northern Ireland W 0
Portugal W 4
Croatia W 0
Iceland W 4
Albania W 0
Wales W 1
Romania W 0
Norway W 2
Israel W 3
Switzerland W 7
Kosovo W 1
Austria W 2
Czech Republic W 0
Scotland W 2
Lithuania W 0
Sweden W 5
Belgium W 1
Poland W 0
Kazakhstan W 0
Ireland W 8
Turkey W 3
Slovenia W 3
Hungary W 0
Netherlands W 8
Final
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