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Stadium Background

Northwich Victoria vs Lancaster Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Trophy 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Northwich Victoria advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Northwich Victoria
15%
Draws
51%
Lancaster
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lancaster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Lancaster carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Lancaster arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Northwich Victoria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Northwich Victoria Clean Sheet 10%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northwich Victoria Lancaster
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2019 FA Cup
Northwich Victoria vs Lancaster
1:2
Sep 7, 2019 FA Cup
Lancaster vs Northwich Victoria
0:0
Oct 7, 2015 FA Trophy
Northwich Victoria vs Lancaster
4:0
Oct 3, 2015 FA Trophy
Lancaster vs Northwich Victoria
1:1
Mar 25, 2006 National League North
Northwich Victoria vs Lancaster
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northwich Victoria 29 / 100
Lancaster 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northwich Victoria Lancaster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northwich Victoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Northwich Victoria scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Lancaster's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Lancaster lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Northwich Victoria VS Lancaster
2 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Northwich Victoria

(Home)
05 Sept
Northwich Victoria
2 : 3
Atherton Collieries
19 Jul
Witton Albion
1 : 1
Northwich Victoria
22 Jul
Thackley
3 : 2
Northwich Victoria
20 Jul
Northwich Victoria
1 : 5
Chester
29 Aug
Northwich Victoria
2 : 0
Atherton Collieries
Page 1 of 6

Lancaster

(Away)
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1
Ilkeston
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2
Lancaster
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1
Lancaster
19 Sept
Bradford PA
1 : 0
Lancaster
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2
Curzon Ashton
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Blyth Spartans -
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Scarborough Athletic 0
Kendal 4
Workington -
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Whitby -
Ashton United -
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Ramsbottom Utd -
Histon -
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Stratford -
Evesham 3
Chasetown 2
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Redditch -
Goole -
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Glossop North End 3
Spennymoor 4
Buxton -
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Frickley -
Witton Albion 4
Ossett Albion 2
Droylsden 1
Radcliffe 2
Skelmersdale -
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Hyde -
Stafford 3
Tividale 1
Leek Town 1
Lincoln Utd. 3
Sutton Coldfield Town -
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Daventry 2
Coalville Town 3
Mossley AFC 1
Harrogate Railway 0
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Darlington FC -
Nantwich -
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Salford -
Belper Town 1
Market Drayton 0
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King’s Lynn -
Shaw Lane 3
New Mills 0
Prescot Cables 0
Farsley 4
Gresley 2
Romulus 1
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Matlock -
Leamington -
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Barwell -
Mickleover -
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Rushall -
Warrington Town 2
Ossett Town 1
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Brighouse Town -
Grantham Town -
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Basford Utd. 3
Marine -
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Trafford 1
Sheffield FC 4
Newcastle Town 5
Spalding United 4
Loughborough Dynamo 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
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Cambridge City -
Northwich Victoria 5
Lancaster 1
Clitheroe 1
Stocksbridge 2
Kettering -
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Rugby 2
St Ives Town 4
Colwyn Bay -
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Bamber Bridge 0
Burscough 2
Stourbridge -
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Halesowen -
Stamford -
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Soham 1
Carlton Town 3
Bideford -
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Farnborough -
Aylesbury Vale 3
Hythe 0
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Brentwood -
Neots -
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Bedworth United -
Hungerford -
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Yate 1
Banbury 3
Haringey Borough 2
Folkestone 1
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Dunstable Town -
Burgess Hill -
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Hitchin -
Thurrock 2
Guernsey FC 0
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Chatham -
Heybridge 2
Aylesbury United 1
Hanwell Town 1
Cheshunt 2
Phoenix Sports 1
Whyteleafe 0
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Tonbridge -
North Leigh 4
Bishops Cleeve 2
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Cirencester -
Enfield Town -
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Carshalton 0
Leighton Town 2
Ramsgate 3
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Brightlingsea 2
Thamesmead 5
Tilbury 5
Barkingside 0
Walton & Hersham 2
Tooting & Mitcham 3
Wingate & Finchley -
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Great Wakering 0
Royston Town 3
Leiston -
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Whitstable Town 2
Worthing FC 4
Redbridge 3
Arlesey 1
Three Bridges 1
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Bedford -
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Potters 1
Northwood 2
Winchester City 3
Petersfield 1
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Weymouth -
Swindon Supermarine -
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Paulton Rovers -
Billericay -
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Chesham -
Taunton Town 4
Godalming Town 1
Burnham FC 0
Dorking Wanderers 2
East Grinstead Town 3
Cray Wanderers 2
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Bognor Regis -
Molesey 5
Fleet Town 1
Bridgwater United 1
Didcot 3
Merstham -
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Ware 1
Harlow 3
East Thurrock Utd -
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Aveley 1
South Park 4
Peacehaven & Telscombe -
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AFC Totton 0
Tiverton 2
Waltham Abbey 2
Dereham 1
Beaconsfield Town 0
Chalfont St Peter 3
Biggleswade Town -
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Grays -
Dulwich Hamlet -
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Harrow Borough -
Staines -
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VCD Athletic -
Frome Town -
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Slimbridge 0
Egham Town 1
Romford 3
North Greenford Utd. 2
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Slough Town -
Lewes -
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Hampton & Richmond -
Hendon -
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Barton 4
Sudbury 5
Dorchester -
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Chippenham Town -
Leatherhead -
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Kingstonian -
Marlow 5
Wantage 2
Wimborne 1
Larkhall 3
Bashley 1
Cinderford Town 0
Shortwood 3
Mangotsfield 4
Canvey Island -
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Needham Market -
Hornchurch -
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Hastings 3
Wroxham 2
Uxbridge 1
Chipstead 2
Poole Town -
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Merthyr Town -
Bury Town 1
Faversham 0
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Kings Langley -
Herne Bay 4
FC Witham Town 2
Sittingbourne 0
Walton Casuals 1
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Semi-finals
Blyth Spartans 4
Kendal 0
Workington 0
Whitby 3
Ashton United 5
Ramsbottom Utd 4
Histon 1
Stratford 4
Evesham 1
Redditch 0
Goole 3
Spennymoor 6
Buxton 2
Frickley 1
Witton Albion 1
Radcliffe 2
Skelmersdale 4
Hyde 3
Stafford 2
Lincoln Utd. 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Coalville Town 0
Mossley AFC 2
Darlington FC 3
Nantwich 2
Salford 1
Belper Town 2
King’s Lynn 6
Shaw Lane 4
Farsley 3
Gresley 0
Matlock 2
Leamington 6
Barwell 1
Mickleover 0
Rushall 1
Warrington Town 2
Brighouse Town 0
Grantham Town 1
Basford Utd. 3
Marine 1
Sheffield FC 0
Newcastle Town 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 5
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Cambridge City 0
Northwich Victoria 1
Stocksbridge 2
Kettering 1
St Ives Town 0
Colwyn Bay 0
Burscough 1
Stourbridge 2
Halesowen 1
Stamford 1
Carlton Town 2
Bideford 4
Farnborough 3
Aylesbury Vale 1
Brentwood 3
Neots 2
Bedworth United 0
Hungerford 3
Banbury 0
Haringey Borough 3
Dunstable Town 1
Burgess Hill 2
Hitchin 3
Thurrock 3
Chatham 0
Heybridge 0
Cheshunt 2
Phoenix Sports 1
Tonbridge 3
North Leigh 1
Cirencester 2
Enfield Town 4
Leighton Town 0
Ramsgate 0
Thamesmead 1
Tilbury 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Wingate & Finchley 0
Royston Town 2
Leiston 3
Worthing FC 1
Redbridge 1
Corinthian-Casuals 4
Bedford 3
Northwood 1
Winchester City 1
Weymouth 2
Swindon Supermarine 3
Paulton Rovers 2
Billericay 0
Chesham 2
Taunton Town 4
Dorking Wanderers 2
East Grinstead Town 0
Bognor Regis 3
Molesey 1
Didcot 0
Merstham 2
Harlow 6
East Thurrock Utd 4
South Park 0
Peacehaven & Telscombe 0
Tiverton 3
Waltham Abbey 3
Chalfont St Peter 1
Biggleswade Town 1
Grays 2
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Harrow Borough 0
Staines 1
VCD Athletic 2
Frome Town 2
Egham Town 1
Romford 0
Slough Town 4
Lewes 1
Hampton & Richmond 2
Hendon 0
Sudbury 1
Dorchester 2
Chippenham Town 1
Leatherhead 1
Kingstonian 5
Marlow 3
Larkhall 0
Bashley 1
Mangotsfield 6
Canvey Island 2
Needham Market 0
Hornchurch 2
Metropolitan Police 3
Hastings 2
Chipstead 1
Poole Town 0
Merthyr Town 1
Bury Town 2
Kings Langley 0
Herne Bay 4
Walton Casuals 3
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Final
Blyth Spartans 1
Whitby 0
Ashton United 2
Stratford 1
Evesham 1
Spennymoor 2
Buxton 5
Radcliffe 1
Skelmersdale 4
Lincoln Utd. 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
Darlington FC 0
Nantwich 5
King’s Lynn 1
Shaw Lane 1
Matlock 2
Leamington 3
Rushall 2
Warrington Town 3
Basford Utd. 0
Marine 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 3
Stocksbridge 4
Kettering 0
Burscough 3
Stourbridge 2
Carlton Town 0
Bideford 3
Brentwood 2
Neots 1
Hungerford 2
Haringey Borough 1
Hitchin 4
Thurrock 3
Cheshunt 1
Tonbridge 1
Cirencester 2
Enfield Town 0
Thamesmead 2
Tilbury 4
Royston Town 2
Leiston 1
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Bedford 1
Weymouth 4
Swindon Supermarine 2
Chesham 3
Taunton Town 1
Bognor Regis 4
Molesey 4
Harlow 3
East Thurrock Utd 5
Tiverton 0
Waltham Abbey 0
Grays 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
VCD Athletic 0
Frome Town 2
Slough Town 1
Hampton & Richmond 3
Sudbury 1
Dorchester 3
Kingstonian 4
Marlow 1
Mangotsfield 0
Canvey Island 0
Metropolitan Police 2
Hastings 1
Merthyr Town 2
Bury Town 3
Herne Bay 2
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