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Stadium Background

Northwood vs Heybridge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy 2020/2021
Sat, Oct 17, 2020
3 - 4
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-4, with Heybridge advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Northwood
15%
Draws
85%
Heybridge
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heybridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Northwood haven't matched Heybridge's recent run of results.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Heybridge arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Heybridge, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Heybridge have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Northwood Clean Sheet 10%
Heybridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northwood Heybridge
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 15
Draws 4 2
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2020 FA Trophy
Northwood vs Heybridge
3:4
Apr 5, 2005 Isthmian League Premier Division
Heybridge vs Northwood
6:1
Oct 19, 2004 Isthmian League Premier Division
Northwood vs Heybridge
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northwood 29 / 100
Heybridge 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northwood Heybridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northwood Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Northwood's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Heybridge has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Heybridge registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Northwood VS Heybridge
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Northwood

(Home)
06 Sept
Northwood
0 : 1
Beckenham Town
26 Jul
Northwood
0 : 1
Hendon
19 Jul
Bedfont Sports
2 : 1
Northwood
12 Jul
Northwood
1 : 4
Wealdstone
07 Sept
Herne Bay
1 : 0
Northwood
Page 1 of 6

Heybridge

(Away)
17 Jul
Heybridge
0 : 4
Colchester
14 Jul
Heybridge
1 : 1
FC Witham Town
26 Jul
Heybridge
1 : 6
Hornchurch
22 Jul
Heybridge
1 : 0
Welling
07 Sept
Heybridge
0 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
United of Manchester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stocksbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Marske United -
Atherton Collieries -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
Cleethorpes -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
TBD -
TBD -
Frickley -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Kendal -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighouse Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton -
Ashton United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunston -
TBD -
TBD -
Clitheroe -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Witton Albion -
Pickering Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Trafford -
Sheffield FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Runcorn Linnets -
Tadcaster Albion 1
Marine 3
TBD -
Mossley AFC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stalybridge -
Droylsden -
TBD -
TBD -
Glossop North End -
Pontefract Collieries -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington -
South Shields -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Widnes FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Colne -
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Newcastle Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Belper Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nuneaton -
Evesham 2
Biggleswade FC 1
TBD -
Carlton Town -
Histon -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
Redditch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantwich -
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Bromsgrove -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Wisbech Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleshill Town -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
Kempston -
Yaxley -
TBD -
TBD -
Chasetown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grantham Town -
Loughborough Dynamo -
TBD -
Market Drayton 0
Bury Town 1
Spalding United -
TBD -
TBD -
Bedford -
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barwell -
Mickleover -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton Coldfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Dereham -
Coalville Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Utd. -
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Soham 0
Corby 3
TBD -
Halesowen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford -
Bedworth United -
TBD -
TBD -
Neots -
Worksop -
TBD -
Ossett United 0
Ramsbottom Utd 2
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Daventry -
TBD -
Cambridge City 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Maldon & Tiptree -
TBD -
TBD -
Grays -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kingstonian -
Hastings -
TBD -
TBD -
Romania -
Hullbridge 0
Ashford Town 1
TBD -
Whitstable Town -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
Ware -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrow Borough -
Phoenix Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Marlow -
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
Needham Market -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chipstead -
TBD -
South Park 0
Three Bridges 1
Bowers & Pitsea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hythe 3
Chalfont St Peter 0
TBD -
Ashford United -
East Thurrock Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Faversham -
TBD -
TBD -
Hertford Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haringey Borough -
Walton Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone -
Merstham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carshalton -
Bedfont Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Coggeshall Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Kings Langley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brightlingsea -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Biggleswade Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Northwood 2
Basildon 1
TBD -
Heybridge -
FC Witham Town 0
Hanwell Town 2
TBD -
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beaconsfield Town -
Uxbridge -
TBD -
Waltham Abbey 3
Staines 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Sudbury 1
Barking 2
TBD -
Harlow -
Sittingbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
East Grinstead Town -
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentwood -
TBD -
TBD -
Chichester City -
Hitchin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
VCD Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
Herne Bay -
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Dunstable 1
Tooting & Mitcham 2
TBD -
Romford -
Whitehawk -
TBD -
TBD -
Barton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Aylesbury United -
TBD -
TBD -
Tilbury -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Margate -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whyteleafe -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Valley -
Horsham FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haywards Heath -
TBD -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden -
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Great Wakering 1
TBD -
Westfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metropolitan Police -
Corinthian-Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Taunton Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Bracknell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Sevenoaks -
Mangotsfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Cinderford Town -
Dorchester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Moneyfields -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
Kidlington -
TBD -
TBD -
Didcot -
Thame United -
TBD -
Cirencester 2
Paulton Rovers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne -
Salisbury -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Sholing -
TBD -
TBD -
Wantage -
Thatcham -
TBD -
Melksham 3
North Leigh 4
Hartley Wintney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Poole Town -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larkhall -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnstaple Town -
Highworth -
TBD -
TBD -
Winchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bideford -
TBD -
TBD -
Slimbridge -
Willand Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Bristol Manor Farm -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
United of Manchester -
TBD -
Stocksbridge 0
Marske United 4
Atherton Collieries -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool -
Cleethorpes -
Hyde -
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
Frickley -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Kendal 1
Brighouse Town 0
TBD -
Buxton -
Ashton United -
TBD -
Dunston 0
Clitheroe 1
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
Witton Albion -
Pickering Town 1
Trafford 0
Sheffield FC 2
Runcorn Linnets 3
Marine 5
Mossley AFC 0
TBD -
Stalybridge -
Droylsden -
Glossop North End -
Pontefract Collieries 1
Workington 4
South Shields -
TBD -
Widnes FC 3
Colne 4
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Newcastle Town 3
Belper Town 2
TBD -
Nuneaton -
Evesham 2
Carlton Town 0
Histon 1
Leek Town 2
Redditch -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantwich -
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Bromsgrove -
TBD -
FC Wisbech Town 1
Coleshill Town 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
TBD -
Ilkeston 2
Kempston 1
Yaxley -
Chasetown -
TBD -
Grantham Town -
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Bury Town 0
Spalding United 0
Bedford 1
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
Barwell -
Mickleover -
TBD -
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Dereham 3
Coalville Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
Stamford 2
Lincoln Utd. 1
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Corby 1
Halesowen 0
TBD -
Hednesford -
Bedworth United 1
Neots 4
Worksop 5
Ramsbottom Utd 4
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
TBD -
Daventry 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Maldon & Tiptree 4
Grays 1
TBD -
Kingstonian -
Hastings 3
Romania 0
Ashford Town 1
Whitstable Town 0
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Burgess Hill 2
Ware 0
TBD -
Harrow Borough -
Phoenix Sports 0
Marlow 2
Chertsey Town 1
Berkhamsted Town 2
Needham Market -
TBD -
Chipstead 1
Three Bridges 2
Bowers & Pitsea -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Royston Town -
TBD -
Hythe 3
Ashford United 2
East Thurrock Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Faversham 4
Hertford Town 1
TBD -
Haringey Borough -
Walton Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone -
Merstham -
TBD -
TBD -
Carshalton -
Bedfont Sports 0
Coggeshall Town 1
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Kings Langley -
TBD -
TBD -
Brightlingsea -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Biggleswade Town -
TBD -
Northwood 3
Heybridge 4
Hanwell Town 1
Aveley 2
TBD -
Beaconsfield Town -
Uxbridge 2
Waltham Abbey 1
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Enfield Town -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Canvey Island -
Barking 1
Harlow 0
Sittingbourne 1
East Grinstead Town 0
Stortford -
TBD -
Brentwood 3
Chichester City 2
Hitchin -
TBD -
VCD Athletic 1
Herne Bay 2
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Romford 0
Whitehawk 2
Barton 1
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Aylesbury United 3
Tilbury 2
TBD -
Margate -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters -
Chesham -
TBD -
Whyteleafe 1
Cray Valley 0
Horsham FC -
TBD -
Haywards Heath 1
Welwyn Garden 4
Felixstowe & Walton 5
Westfield 0
TBD -
Metropolitan Police -
Corinthian-Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
AFC Totton 2
Frome Town 3
TBD -
Farnborough -
Taunton Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Bracknell Town 2
Sevenoaks 0
Mangotsfield 1
Cinderford Town 2
Dorchester -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Moneyfields 2
Basingstoke 1
Kidlington 2
Didcot 1
Thame United 4
Cirencester 1
TBD -
Wimborne -
Salisbury -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Sholing 0
Wantage 2
Thatcham 2
North Leigh 4
Hartley Wintney -
TBD -
TBD -
Poole Town -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Larkhall 5
Barnstaple Town 0
Highworth 2
Winchester City 1
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
Yate -
TBD -
Bideford 3
Slimbridge 2
Willand Rovers 2
Bristol Manor Farm 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
United of Manchester 2
Marske United 3
Atherton Collieries 0
City Of Liverpool 3
Hyde 2
Frickley 1
Warrington Town 2
Lancaster 1
Brighouse Town 0
Buxton 2
Ashton United 1
Clitheroe 0
Radcliffe 1
Bamber Bridge 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
Witton Albion 3
Pickering Town 1
Runcorn Linnets 4
Marine 3
Stalybridge 2
Glossop North End 0
Workington 1
South Shields 1
Colne 0
Morpeth 3
Whitby 1
Newcastle Town 0
Nuneaton 2
Evesham 3
Leek Town 2
Redditch 2
Nantwich 3
Tamworth 2
Banbury 1
Bromsgrove 0
Coleshill Town 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Ilkeston 0
Yaxley 0
Grantham Town 2
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Bedford 3
Rushall 4
Barwell 1
Mickleover 5
Dereham 0
Coalville Town 3
Matlock 4
Peterborough Sports 4
Gainsborough 2
Stourbridge 0
Stamford 3
Basford Utd. 2
Alvechurch 1
Corby 1
Hednesford 2
Neots 6
Worksop 1
St Ives Town 2
Stafford 1
Stratford 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Kingstonian 2
Hastings 2
Ashford Town 1
Leiston 5
Worthing FC 4
Burgess Hill 4
Harrow Borough 1
Marlow 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Needham Market 4
Three Bridges 1
Bowers & Pitsea 1
Hornchurch 3
Royston Town 2
Hythe 0
East Thurrock Utd 3
Cheshunt 4
Faversham 1
Haringey Borough 2
Walton Casuals 2
Folkestone 1
Merstham 1
Carshalton 3
Coggeshall Town 1
Wingate & Finchley 2
Kings Langley 4
Brightlingsea 1
Lowestoft 3
Lewes 1
Biggleswade Town 1
Heybridge 0
Aveley 3
Beaconsfield Town 0
Uxbridge 2
Hayes & Yeading 1
Enfield Town 8
Ramsgate 1
Barking 2
Sittingbourne 1
Stortford 3
Brentwood 2
Hitchin 3
Herne Bay 1
Bognor Regis 2
Tooting & Mitcham 0
Whitehawk 0
Cray Wanderers 3
Aylesbury United 2
Margate 4
Leatherhead 3
Potters 1
Chesham 3
Whyteleafe 2
Horsham FC 1
Welwyn Garden 2
Felixstowe & Walton 3
Metropolitan Police 1
Corinthian-Casuals 5
Hendon 4
Frome Town 3
Farnborough 0
Taunton Town 2
Truro 4
Bracknell Town 3
Cinderford Town 0
Dorchester 2
Gosport Borough 1
Moneyfields 3
Kidlington 2
Thame United 3
Wimborne 0
Salisbury 6
Tiverton 0
Wantage 1
North Leigh 4
Hartley Wintney 1
Poole Town 4
Weston-super-Mare 2
Larkhall 1
Highworth 2
Swindon Supermarine 3
Yate -
Bideford -
Willand Rovers -
TBD -