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Norway U23 W vs Sweden U23 W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Women
Our Tip

Match Events

63'
Sub
Nilden M. In: Bjork L.
Out: Nilden M.
72'
Sub
Bodin M. In: Swedman S.
Out: Bodin M.
72'
Sub
Bergstrom A. In: Duljan E.
Out: Bergstrom A.

AI Match Summary

Sweden U23 W in this Friendly International Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sweden U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Norway U23 W
20%
Draws
57%
Sweden U23 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sweden U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sweden U23 W have won more games recently than Norway U23 W.
  • Sweden U23 W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sweden U23 W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Norway U23 W Clean Sheet 14%
Sweden U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norway U23 W Sweden U23 W
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 14 21
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.68 2.06
Goals Conceded 1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Norway U23 W
2:0
Apr 13, 2026 Friendly International Women
Norway U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
0:1
Feb 21, 2025 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Norway U23 W
0:1
Apr 8, 2024 Friendly International Women
Norway U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
2:3
Oct 25, 2021 Friendly International Women
Norway U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norway U23 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sweden U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Janzen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norway U23 W 19 / 100
Sweden U23 W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norway U23 W Sweden U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sweden U23 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norway U23 W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sweden U23 W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Norway U23 W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Norway U23 W VS Sweden U23 W
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Norway U23 W

(Home)
05 Jun
Norway U23 W
1 : 1
Mexico U23 W
03 Jun
Sweden U23 W
2 : 0
Norway U23 W
17 Apr
Netherlands U23 W
2 : 1
Norway U23 W
13 Apr
Norway U23 W
0 : 1
Sweden U23 W
02 Mar
Norway U23 W
3 : 1
Germany U23 W
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Sweden U23 W

(Away)
08 Jun
Sweden U23 W
1 : 1
Mexico U23 W
03 Jun
Sweden U23 W
2 : 0
Norway U23 W
17 Apr
England U23 W
3 : 0
Sweden U23 W
13 Apr
Norway U23 W
0 : 1
Sweden U23 W
06 Mar
Romania U23 W
1 : 5
Sweden U23 W
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