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Norway vs New Zealand

World World

Friendly International 2025 Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Surman F.
Assist: Boxall M.
46'
Sub
Berg P. In: Berge S.
Out: Berg P.
46'
Sub
Donnum A. In: Nusa A.
Out: Donnum A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Norway and New Zealand finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Norway
20%
Draws
29%
New Zealand
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Norway

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Norway carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Norway a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Norway Clean Sheet 16%
New Zealand Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norway New Zealand
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.71 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 Friendly International
Norway vs New Zealand
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norway Compare

Top Goalscorer Nusa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

New Zealand Compare

Top Goalscorer Surman F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norway 48 / 100
New Zealand 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norway New Zealand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norway Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Norway scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

New Zealand's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Norway went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Norway VS New Zealand
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Norway

(Home)
27 Sept
Norway
1 : 2
Portugal
24 Sept
Norway
3 : 2
Denmark
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2
England
05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2
Norway
30 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 2
Norway
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New Zealand

(Away)
27 Sept
China
0 : 3
New Zealand
24 Sept
Palestine
2 : 2
New Zealand
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5
Belgium
22 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 3
Egypt
16 Jun
Iran
2 : 2
New Zealand
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