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Norway W vs Northern Ireland W

Europe Europe

Euro Women Ullevaal Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Norway W play Northern Ireland W in the Euro Women. Norway W are favorites here. Recently, Norway W averaged 1.9 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Northern Ireland W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Norway W won 5, Northern Ireland W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 3, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Norway W and 1.31 for Northern Ireland W. This points to a Norway W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Norway W
15%
Draws
29%
Northern Ireland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Norway W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Norway W picked up more points recently compared to Northern Ireland W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Norway W Clean Sheet 18%
Northern Ireland W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norway W Northern Ireland W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2024 Euro Women
Norway W vs Northern Ireland W
3:0
Nov 29, 2024 Euro Women
Northern Ireland W vs Norway W
0:4
Jul 7, 2022 Euro Women
Norway W vs Northern Ireland W
4:1
Nov 8, 2019 Euro Women
Norway W vs Northern Ireland W
6:0
Aug 30, 2019 Euro Women
Northern Ireland W vs Norway W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norway W Compare

Top Goalscorer Graham C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leonhardsen-Maanum F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Northern Ireland W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norway W 54 / 100
Northern Ireland W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norway W Northern Ireland W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norway W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Norway W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Norway W attacking → ← attacking Northern Ireland W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norway W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Northern Ireland W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Norway W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Northern Ireland W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 36
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75