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Norwich U21 vs Sunderland U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Whittaker J.
Assist: Hester B.
90' Event
Bracking M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Norwich U21
20%
Draws
40%
Sunderland U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sunderland U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Norwich U21 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Sunderland U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sunderland U21, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sunderland U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Norwich U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norwich U21 Sunderland U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.6 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premier League 2
Sunderland U21 vs Norwich U21
3:1
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League Cup
Norwich U21 vs Sunderland U21
1:1
Oct 10, 2025 Premier League Cup
Sunderland U21 vs Norwich U21
3:2
Oct 25, 2024 Premier League 2
Norwich U21 vs Sunderland U21
0:3
Aug 14, 2023 Premier League 2
Sunderland U21 vs Norwich U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norwich U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bracking M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sunderland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Whittaker J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norwich U21 35 / 100
Sunderland U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norwich U21 Sunderland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norwich U21 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Sunderland U21 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Norwich U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Norwich U21 VS Sunderland U21
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Norwich U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Sunderland U21
3 : 1
Norwich U21
11 Sept
Norwich U21
4 : 2
Birmingham U21
08 Sept
Worthing FC
0 : 1
Norwich U21
28 Aug
Norwich U21
0 : 0
Stoke City U21
23 Aug
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1
Norwich U21
Page 1 of 6

Sunderland U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Sunderland U21
3 : 1
Norwich U21
11 Sept
Sunderland U21
4 : 2
Ipswich U21
31 Aug
Brentford U21
5 : 1
Sunderland U21
24 Aug
Sunderland U21
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
19 Aug
Sunderland U21
1 : 1
Jong PSV
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U21 6 5 0 1 10:3 15
2 Bournemouth U21 6 3 2 1 15:10 11
3 Hull City U21 6 2 0 4 12:12 6
4 Birmingham U21 6 0 2 4 5:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U21 6 6 0 0 14:7 18
2 Stoke City U21 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
3 Derby U21 6 1 2 3 15:12 5
4 Bristol City U21 6 1 1 4 10:18 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Charlton U21 6 3 1 2 9:14 10
3 Leicester U21 6 2 0 4 11:9 6
4 Preston U21 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford U21 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
2 Blackburn U21 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
3 Leyton Orient U21 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
4 Coventry U21 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U21 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Brentford U21 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Exeter U21 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Luton U21 6 1 0 5 8:19 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U21 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 QPR U21 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Cardiff U21 6 2 1 3 15:12 7
4 Stockport U21 6 2 0 4 11:17 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Swansea U21 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Wolves U21 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
4 Millwall U21 6 0 1 5 7:17 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester U21 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
2 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Bromley U21 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Norwich U21 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)