Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Toure M.
Penalty Missed
19'
19'
Brereton Diaz B.
33'
33'
Toure M.
Assist: Forson A.
AI Match Summary
Norwich in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Norwich.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Norwich
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Norwich lately — more wins on the board than Derby.
- Model gives Norwich a 47% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Norwich Clean Sheet 20%
Derby Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Norwich | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2026 Championship
Norwich vs Derby
2:1
Oct 21, 2025 Championship
Derby vs Norwich
1:0
Feb 8, 2025 Championship
Norwich vs Derby
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Championship
Derby vs Norwich
2:3
Apr 10, 2021 Championship
Derby vs Norwich
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Norwich Compare
Top Goalscorer Toure M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gibbs L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Derby Compare
Top Goalscorer Ozoh D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Norwich 67 / 100
Derby 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Norwich Derby
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Norwich Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Norwich scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Derby has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Norwich remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Norwich VS Derby
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Norwich
(Home) 08 Aug
Norwich
4 : 1 Milton Keynes Dons
04 Aug
Norwich
0 : 0 Cambridge Utd
01 Aug
Norwich
1 : 2 Osasuna
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2 Norwich
22 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Norwich
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Norwich
4 : 1 Milton Keynes Dons
04 Aug
Norwich
0 : 0 Cambridge Utd
01 Aug
Norwich
1 : 2 Osasuna
11 Jul
Norwich
0 : 0 Colchester
04 Jul
Norwich
2 : 0 King’s Lynn
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Derby
(Away) 08 Aug
Derby
1 : 2 Lincoln City
04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 Derby
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0 Derby
31 Jul
Mansfield
1 : 3 Derby
28 Jul
Derby
1 : 2 Valencia
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 Derby
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0 Derby
31 Jul
Mansfield
1 : 3 Derby
24 Jul
Freiburg
3 : 1 Derby
17 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 2 Derby
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
