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Nosta vs Chelyabinsk 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Kamyshev I.
(Penalty)
34' Event
Bakhysh-Zade A.
37' Event
Vainer A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Nosta in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nosta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nosta
15%
Draws
34%
Chelyabinsk 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nosta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nosta lately — more wins on the board than Chelyabinsk 2.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Nosta taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Nosta Clean Sheet 68%
Chelyabinsk 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nosta Chelyabinsk 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.07 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs Chelyabinsk 2
3:0
Aug 9, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs Chelyabinsk 2
2:1
May 31, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Chelyabinsk 2 vs Nosta
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs Chelyabinsk 2
0:1
Jun 22, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Chelyabinsk 2 vs Nosta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nosta Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakhysh-Zade A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Chelyabinsk 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nosta 86 / 100
Chelyabinsk 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nosta Chelyabinsk 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nosta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chelyabinsk 2 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Nosta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chelyabinsk 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nosta VS Chelyabinsk 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nosta

(Home)
27 Sept
Nosta
2 : 0
Orenburg 2
20 Sept
Nosta
3 : 0
Chelyabinsk 2
13 Sept
Rubin Kazan 2
2 : 0
Nosta
06 Sept
Nosta
0 : 1
Ural 2
30 Aug
FK Izhevsk
1 : 2
Nosta
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Chelyabinsk 2

(Away)
27 Sept
Chelyabinsk 2
3 : 2
Ural 2
20 Sept
Nosta
3 : 0
Chelyabinsk 2
13 Sept
Chelyabinsk 2
1 : 2
FK Izhevsk
06 Sept
Chelyabinsk 2
1 : 0
Rubin Kazan 2
30 Aug
Orenburg 2
2 : 0
Chelyabinsk 2
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