Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nosta vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nosta play Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4. Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 are favorites here. Recently, Nosta averaged 0.76 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Nosta won 0, Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for Nosta and 1.38 for Krylya Sovetov Samara 2. This points to a Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Nosta
22%
Draws
63%
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Nosta picked up more points recently compared to Krylya Sovetov Samara 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.56 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Nosta Clean Sheet 17%
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nosta Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.76 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 vs Nosta
4:2
Aug 3, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 vs Nosta
3:2
Apr 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nosta Compare

Top Goalscorer Vainer A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Malikov Pavlovich D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nosta 17 / 100
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nosta Krylya Sovetov Samara 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nosta attacking → ← attacking Krylya Sovetov Samara 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nosta scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Nosta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 35
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88