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Notaresco Calcio vs Pietralunga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Boriosi M.
45' Event
Moretti F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Notaresco Calcio and Pietralunga finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Notaresco Calcio
20%
Draws
7%
Pietralunga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Notaresco Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Pietralunga haven't matched Notaresco Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Notaresco Calcio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Pietralunga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notaresco Calcio Pietralunga
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 10 0
Draws 10 2
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.2 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Pietralunga
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notaresco Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Moretti F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pietralunga Compare

Top Goalscorer Boriosi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notaresco Calcio 95 / 100
Pietralunga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notaresco Calcio Pietralunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notaresco Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notaresco Calcio found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Pietralunga has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Notaresco Calcio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Notaresco Calcio VS Pietralunga
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Notaresco Calcio

(Home)
10 Oct
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Recanatese
04 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
0 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1
Pietralunga
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0
Santegidiese
Page 1 of 6

Pietralunga

(Away)
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3
Aquila Calcio
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1
Pietralunga
20 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 2
Maceratese
16 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
2 : 1
Pietralunga
12 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 1
Foligno
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Notaresco Calcio 7 3 2 2 8:7 11
7 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 7 1 3 3 9:11 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)