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Notaresco Calcio vs Sangiustese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Romano G.

AI Match Summary

Notaresco Calcio in this Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Notaresco Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Notaresco Calcio
15%
Draws
0%
Sangiustese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Notaresco Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Notaresco Calcio have won more games recently than Sangiustese.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Sangiustese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notaresco Calcio Sangiustese
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 9 3
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Notaresco Calcio
0:0
Dec 15, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Sangiustese
1:0
Mar 24, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Sangiustese
0:0
Nov 18, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Notaresco Calcio
0:0
Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Notaresco Calcio
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notaresco Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Romano G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Sangiustese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notaresco Calcio 32 / 100
Sangiustese 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notaresco Calcio Sangiustese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sangiustese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sangiustese conceded in 82% of 22 recent games.

Away concern: Sangiustese has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Notaresco Calcio found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Notaresco Calcio VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Notaresco Calcio

(Home)
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0
Santegidiese
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
Ancona
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
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Sangiustese

(Away)
01 Mar
Sangiustese
0 : 1
Montegiorgio
23 Feb
Cattolica Calcio
1 : 0
Sangiustese
16 Feb
Sangiustese
0 : 2
Matelica
09 Feb
Agnonese
3 : 0
Sangiustese
02 Feb
Sangiustese
1 : 2
Vastese
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