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Notch vs PVV - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Suriname Suriname

SML
Notch Logo

Notch

Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
PVV Logo

PVV

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Notch host PVV in the SML. This one's hard to separate. PVV have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Notch have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.2. Past meetings favor Notch slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 2, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.97 vs 1.13, favoring PVV. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Notch
20%
Draws
58%
PVV
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PVV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PVV lately — more wins on the board than Notch.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Notch Clean Sheet 20%
PVV Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notch PVV
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2025 SML
PVV vs Notch
1:1
Jun 29, 2025 SML
Notch vs PVV
1:4
Apr 13, 2025 SML
PVV vs Notch
1:2
Feb 2, 2025 SML
Notch vs PVV
1:1
May 26, 2024 SML
Notch vs PVV
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notch 36 / 100
PVV 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notch PVV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PVV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notch found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

PVV let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Notch remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Notch VS PVV
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Notch

(Home)
26 Apr
Notch
1 : 2
Inter Wanica
23 Apr
Notch
1 : 2
Broki
19 Apr
Notch
0 : 1
SV Transvaal
04 Apr
Leo Victor
2 : 1
Notch
29 Mar
Flora
0 : 1
Notch
Page 1 of 6

PVV

(Away)
12 Jul
PVV
1 : 2
Inter Moengotapoe
09 Jul
PVV
1 : 0
Robinhood
06 Jul
Robinhood
1 : 1
PVV
02 Jul
PVV
1 : 1
Notch
29 Jun
Notch
1 : 4
PVV
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Moengotapoe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Notch 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 SV Transvaal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Robinhood 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Broki 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Voorwaarts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Inter Wanica 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Leo Victor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 PVV 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Flora 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Coronie Boys 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - SML (Play Offs)
Promotion - SML (Play Offs)