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Notch vs SV Transvaal

Suriname Suriname

SML
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SV Transvaal in this SML matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SV Transvaal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Notch
15%
Draws
59%
SV Transvaal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SV Transvaal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • SV Transvaal have won more games recently than Notch.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular SML form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Notch Clean Sheet 14%
SV Transvaal Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notch SV Transvaal
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 SML
Notch vs SV Transvaal
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 SML
SV Transvaal vs Notch
0:0
Dec 24, 2025 SML
Notch vs SV Transvaal
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 SML
Notch vs SV Transvaal
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 SML
SV Transvaal vs Notch
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notch 31 / 100
SV Transvaal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notch SV Transvaal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Transvaal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Notch scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

SV Transvaal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Notch remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Notch VS SV Transvaal
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Notch

(Home)
26 Apr
Notch
1 : 2
Inter Wanica
23 Apr
Notch
1 : 2
Broki
19 Apr
Notch
0 : 1
SV Transvaal
04 Apr
Leo Victor
2 : 1
Notch
29 Mar
Flora
0 : 1
Notch
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SV Transvaal

(Away)
02 May
SV Transvaal
0 : 1
Broki
30 Apr
Robinhood
0 : 0
SV Transvaal
19 Apr
Notch
0 : 1
SV Transvaal
11 Apr
Leo Victor
2 : 0
SV Transvaal
05 Apr
Flora
0 : 4
SV Transvaal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Robinhood 24 19 5 0 62:10 62
2 Leo Victor 24 15 4 5 46:26 49
3 Inter Moengotapoe 24 12 7 5 55:31 43
4 Voorwaarts 24 12 7 5 49:28 43
5 SV Transvaal 24 8 6 10 31:32 30
6 Broki 24 7 5 12 32:46 26
7 Notch 24 5 7 12 28:35 22
8 Flora 24 4 5 15 33:64 17
9 Inter Wanica 24 2 2 20 11:75 8
Promotion - SML (Play Offs)
Promotion - SML (Play Offs)
Promotion - SML (Play Offs)
Promotion - SML (Play Offs)