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Notec Czarnkow vs Grom Nowy Staw - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Urbanski F.
70' Event
Jankowski I.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Notec Czarnkow and Grom Nowy Staw finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grom Nowy Staw.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Notec Czarnkow
20%
Draws
40%
Grom Nowy Staw
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Notec Czarnkow come out ahead of Grom Nowy Staw on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Notec Czarnkow taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 10%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notec Czarnkow Grom Nowy Staw
Matches Played 27 19
Wins 13 8
Draws 3 2
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.7 2.37
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Grom Nowy Staw
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notec Czarnkow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Grom Nowy Staw Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbanski F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jankowski I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notec Czarnkow 34 / 100
Grom Nowy Staw 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notec Czarnkow Grom Nowy Staw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notec Czarnkow's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Grom Nowy Staw conceded in 79% of 19 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Notec Czarnkow stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Notec Czarnkow VS Grom Nowy Staw
1.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Notec Czarnkow

(Home)
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6

Grom Nowy Staw

(Away)
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Swinoujscie
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
05 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
4 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 11 8 1 2 31:13 25
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 10 5 3 2 15:14 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 11 4 1 6 28:28 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 11 1 5 5 11:23 8
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)