Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Notec Czarnkow vs Tluchowo

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kieplin D.
(Penalty)
38' Event
Milachowski K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Notec Czarnkow
15%
Draws
59%
Tluchowo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tluchowo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Tluchowo haven't matched Notec Czarnkow's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Notec Czarnkow taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 11%
Tluchowo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notec Czarnkow Tluchowo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.64 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.79 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Tluchowo
1:1
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Tluchowo vs Notec Czarnkow
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notec Czarnkow Compare

Top Goalscorer Milachowski K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.15
Avg xA / game 1.4

Tluchowo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 0.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notec Czarnkow 40 / 100
Tluchowo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notec Czarnkow Tluchowo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tluchowo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Notec Czarnkow found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Notec Czarnkow has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Notec Czarnkow VS Tluchowo
2.25 Goals Scored 2.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Notec Czarnkow

(Home)
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
28 Aug
Wda Swiecie
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 6

Tluchowo

(Away)
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1
Tluchowo
30 May
Elana Torun
2 : 5
Tluchowo
22 May
Tluchowo
1 : 4
Blekitni Stargard
16 May
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Tluchowo
13 May
Tluchowo
3 : 1
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zawisza 34 25 5 4 73:23 80
2 Luzino 34 24 4 6 79:39 76
3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 20 6 8 67:43 66
4 Lipno Steszew 34 15 6 13 47:54 51
5 Notec Czarnkow 34 14 7 13 49:46 49
6 Lech Poznan II 34 14 7 13 67:54 49
7 Elana Torun 34 14 7 13 49:55 49
8 Swinoujscie 34 14 7 13 48:52 49
9 Wda Swiecie 34 14 6 14 44:66 48
10 Unia Swarzedz 34 13 8 13 47:41 47
11 Kluczevia Stargard 34 13 7 14 54:43 46
12 Blekitni Stargard 34 12 9 13 56:51 45
13 Victoria Wrzesnia 34 13 3 18 41:46 42
14 Pogon Szczecin II 34 12 5 17 75:66 41
15 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
16 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 5 18 38:51 38
17 Tluchowo 34 8 7 19 37:66 31
18 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal 34 3 6 25 20:84 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)