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Notodden 2 vs Lura

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2016 game between Notodden 2 and Lura finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Notodden 2
20%
Draws
80%
Lura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lura come out ahead of Notodden 2 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lura's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Notodden 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Lura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notodden 2 Lura
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.73 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Notodden 2 vs Lura
0:2
May 22, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Lura vs Notodden 2
7:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notodden 2 10 / 100
Lura 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notodden 2 Lura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lura let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Notodden 2 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Lura has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lura
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Notodden 2

(Home)
22 Oct
Notodden 2
0 : 3
Skarphedin
09 Oct
Notodden 2
0 : 3
Madla IL
04 Oct
IL Express
2 : 1
Notodden 2
25 Sept
Notodden 2
0 : 2
Viking 2
18 Sept
Eiger
4 : 0
Notodden 2
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Lura

(Away)
21 Oct
Lura
2 : 2
Brodd
14 Oct
Staal Jorpeland
2 : 2
Lura
06 Oct
Lura
1 : 2
Viking 2
28 Sept
Madla IL
2 : 1
Lura
23 Sept
Lura
2 : 0
Tonsberg
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