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Notodden vs Lorenskog

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Mar 14, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Notodden host Lorenskog in the Club Friendly. Little to choose between these two on current form. Lorenskog have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Notodden have conceded 0.88 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Notodden slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.69) point toward Lorenskog. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Notodden
17%
Draws
70%
Lorenskog
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lorenskog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Notodden haven't matched Lorenskog's recent run of results.
  • Lorenskog are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Notodden Clean Sheet 13%
Lorenskog Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notodden Lorenskog
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 18
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.38 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Notodden vs Lorenskog
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Notodden vs Lorenskog
2:1
Apr 13, 2016 NM Cup
Notodden vs Lorenskog
3:1
Sep 19, 2015 Division 2 - Group 2
Notodden vs Lorenskog
2:2
Jun 6, 2015 Division 2 - Group 2
Lorenskog vs Notodden
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notodden 14 / 100
Lorenskog 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notodden Lorenskog

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notodden's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lorenskog conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Notodden remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Notodden VS Lorenskog
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%