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Notodden vs Lorenskog Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Mar 14, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Notodden host Lorenskog in the Club Friendly. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Lorenskog have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Notodden have conceded 0.96 and scored 1.64. Past meetings favor Notodden slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.00) point toward Notodden. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Notodden
20%
Draws
51%
Lorenskog
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lorenskog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Lorenskog haven't matched Notodden's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Notodden Clean Sheet 20%
Lorenskog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notodden Lorenskog
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.64 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Notodden vs Lorenskog
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Notodden vs Lorenskog
2:1
Apr 13, 2016 NM Cup
Notodden vs Lorenskog
3:1
Sep 19, 2015 Division 2 - Group 2
Notodden vs Lorenskog
2:2
Jun 6, 2015 Division 2 - Group 2
Lorenskog vs Notodden
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notodden 31 / 100
Lorenskog 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notodden Lorenskog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notodden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notodden's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lorenskog conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Notodden remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Notodden VS Lorenskog
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Notodden

(Home)
03 Oct
Notodden
1 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
26 Sept
Jerv
1 : 0
Notodden
20 Sept
Notodden
4 : 1
Arendal
16 Sept
Notodden
2 : 3
Odds BK
13 Sept
Traeff
1 : 1
Notodden
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Lorenskog

(Away)
03 Oct
Grorud
4 : 0
Lorenskog
27 Sept
Lorenskog
4 : 1
Skeid
20 Sept
Stjordals Blink
2 : 0
Lorenskog
13 Sept
Rana FK
0 : 1
Lorenskog
06 Sept
Lorenskog
1 : 1
Junkeren
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