Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Notodden vs Mjondalen

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Idrettsparken Notodden, Notodden
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Larsen S.
45'
Wenneberg M.
47'
Svendby C.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Notodden and Mjondalen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mjondalen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Notodden
20%
Draws
34%
Mjondalen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Notodden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Notodden's 1.67 goals per match outpaces what Mjondalen have produced (1.57).
  • Notodden are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mjondalen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Notodden Clean Sheet 20%
Mjondalen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notodden Mjondalen
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Mjondalen vs Notodden
0:1
Jun 20, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Mjondalen
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Mjondalen vs Notodden
2:1
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Mjondalen vs Notodden
4:0
Aug 1, 2021 NM Cup
Notodden vs Mjondalen
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notodden Compare

Top Goalscorer Osen H. H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mjondalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Marthinussen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Midtgard O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notodden 85 / 100
Mjondalen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notodden Mjondalen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notodden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notodden found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Mjondalen conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Notodden has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Notodden VS Mjondalen
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Notodden

(Home)
16 Sept
Notodden
2 : 3
Odds BK
13 Sept
Traeff
1 : 1
Notodden
06 Sept
Notodden
3 : 0
Lysekloster
30 Aug
Kvik Halden
0 : 0
Notodden
22 Aug
Assiden
0 : 4
Notodden
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Mjondalen

(Away)
12 Sept
Lysekloster
2 : 3
Mjondalen
05 Sept
Mjondalen
0 : 3
Jerv
30 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 0
Mjondalen
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
15 Aug
Mjondalen
2 : 1
Eik-Tonsberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 19 14 3 2 41:18 45
2 Sotra 19 11 3 5 41:17 36
3 Brattvag 19 11 3 5 38:23 36
4 Bjarg 19 11 2 6 36:25 35
5 Mjondalen 19 11 2 6 33:26 35
6 Notodden 19 9 5 5 26:15 32
7 Kvik Halden 19 9 4 6 28:22 31
8 Traeff 19 8 6 5 35:30 30
9 Arendal 19 7 5 7 27:30 26
10 Pors 19 5 5 9 20:27 20
11 Sandviken 19 5 4 10 29:42 19
12 Lysekloster 19 3 5 11 21:40 14
13 Eik-Tonsberg 19 2 1 16 20:44 7
14 Vidar 19 1 4 14 17:53 7
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)