Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Notodden vs Mjondalen

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Idrettsparken Notodden, Notodden
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Larsen S.
45'
Wenneberg M.
47'
Svendby C.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Notodden and Mjondalen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mjondalen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Notodden
22%
Draws
18%
Mjondalen
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Notodden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Mjondalen's 2 goals per match outpaces what Notodden have produced (1.88).
  • Notodden are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mjondalen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Notodden Clean Sheet 17%
Mjondalen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notodden Mjondalen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Mjondalen vs Notodden
0:1
Jun 20, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Mjondalen
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Mjondalen vs Notodden
2:1
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Mjondalen vs Notodden
4:0
Aug 1, 2021 NM Cup
Notodden vs Mjondalen
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notodden Compare

Top Goalscorer Osen H. H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Mjondalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Marthinussen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Midtgard O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notodden 57 / 100
Mjondalen 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notodden Mjondalen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notodden found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Mjondalen conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Notodden has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Notodden VS Mjondalen
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Notodden

(Home)
01 Aug
Mjondalen
0 : 1
Notodden
25 Jul
Notodden
1 : 0
Sotra
27 Jun
Sandviken
0 : 4
Notodden
20 Jun
Notodden
1 : 2
Mjondalen
14 Jun
Lysekloster
0 : 2
Notodden
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Mjondalen

(Away)
01 Aug
Mjondalen
0 : 1
Notodden
25 Jul
Brattvag
3 : 5
Mjondalen
27 Jun
Mjondalen
1 : 0
Bjarg
20 Jun
Notodden
1 : 2
Mjondalen
13 Jun
Mjondalen
3 : 3
Kvik Halden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 14 10 2 2 28:15 32
2 Kvik Halden 14 8 3 3 27:18 27
3 Brattvag 14 8 2 4 26:15 26
4 Mjondalen 14 8 2 4 27:19 26
5 Bjarg 14 8 1 5 25:20 25
6 Notodden 14 7 3 4 21:11 24
7 Traeff 14 6 4 4 27:23 22
8 Sotra 14 6 3 5 27:14 21
9 Pors 14 5 4 5 16:18 19
10 Arendal 14 3 5 6 18:23 14
11 Sandviken 14 4 2 8 21:32 14
12 Lysekloster 14 3 5 6 17:28 14
13 Vidar 14 1 3 10 13:37 6
14 Eik-Tonsberg 14 1 1 12 16:36 4
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)