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Nottingham U18 vs Manchester United U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League U18
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
1 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Rooney K.
78' Event
Ntege J.
Assist: Ntege J.

AI Match Summary

Nottingham U18 host Manchester United U18 in the Premier League U18. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Nottingham U18 have averaged 2.11 scored and 1.71 conceded recently, against Manchester United U18's 2.58 scored and 0.9 conceded. Head-to-head, Nottingham U18 have won 1 to Manchester United U18's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 5:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.44) point toward Manchester United U18. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Nottingham U18
15%
Draws
46%
Manchester United U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchester United U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manchester United U18 lately — more wins on the board than Nottingham U18.
  • Model gives Manchester United U18 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League U18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Nottingham U18 Clean Sheet 16%
Manchester United U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham U18 Manchester United U18
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 14 22
Draws 4 2
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.11 2.58
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Premier League U18
Manchester United U18 vs Nottingham U18
5:2
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Manchester United U18
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Manchester United U18
0:3
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League U18
Manchester United U18 vs Nottingham U18
6:0
Feb 17, 2024 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Manchester United U18
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ntege J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Manchester United U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rooney K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham U18 10 / 100
Manchester United U18 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham U18 Manchester United U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester United U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham U18's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Manchester United U18 conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Nottingham U18 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham U18 VS Manchester United U18
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Nottingham U18
12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1
Middlesbrough U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2
Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1
Stoke City U18
22 Aug
Blackburn U18
0 : 8
Nottingham U18
Page 1 of 6

Manchester United U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Manchester United U18
6 : 0
Wolves U18
12 Sept
Newcastle Utd U18
0 : 2
Manchester United U18
05 Sept
Manchester United U18
5 : 0
Middlesbrough U18
29 Aug
Everton U18
0 : 3
Manchester United U18
22 Aug
Manchester United U18
0 : 1
Manchester City U18
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 6 6 0 0 26:8 18
2 Newcastle Utd U18 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
3 Manchester United U18 5 4 0 1 16:1 12
4 Nottingham U18 5 3 1 1 15:4 10
5 Derby U18 7 3 1 3 12:14 10
6 Leeds U18 6 3 0 3 11:17 9
7 Liverpool U18 5 2 2 1 14:11 8
8 Burnley U18 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
9 Middlesbrough U18 7 2 2 3 12:15 8
10 Stoke City U18 7 2 1 4 14:19 7
11 Everton U18 6 2 0 4 12:15 6
12 Blackburn U18 5 2 0 3 5:20 6
13 Leicester U18 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
14 Sunderland U18 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
15 Wolves U18 6 0 0 6 4:20 0
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U18 7 5 1 1 34:11 16
2 Chelsea U18 7 5 0 2 28:10 15
3 Arsenal U18 7 4 1 2 12:7 13
4 Brighton U18 7 4 1 2 18:19 13
5 Fulham U18 6 3 3 0 23:15 12
6 Southampton U18 7 4 0 3 23:15 12
7 Brentford U18 7 4 0 3 20:17 12
8 West Ham U18 6 3 1 2 16:15 10
9 Ipswich U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
10 Aston Villa U18 6 2 2 2 15:13 8
11 Bournemouth U18 7 2 2 3 15:22 8
12 West Brom U18 6 2 1 3 5:14 7
13 Norwich U18 7 2 0 5 13:23 6
14 Crystal Palace U18 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
15 Reading U18 8 1 1 6 11:30 4
16 Birmingham U18 6 1 0 5 6:22 3
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)