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Nottingham U21 vs Manchester United U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 Loughborough University Stadium, Leicestershire
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nottingham U21 host Manchester United U21 in the Premier League 2. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Nottingham U21 have averaged 1.42 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Manchester United U21's 2.06 scored and 1.55 conceded. Past meetings favor Nottingham U21 slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 7, 2025, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.90, favoring Manchester United U21. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nottingham U21
15%
Draws
42%
Manchester United U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manchester United U21 come out ahead of Nottingham U21 on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Manchester United U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Manchester United U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham U21 Manchester United U21
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 18
Draws 2 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.42 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2025 Premier League 2
Manchester United U21 vs Nottingham U21
3:3
Apr 26, 2024 Premier League 2
Nottingham U21 vs Manchester United U21
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham U21 14 / 100
Manchester United U21 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham U21 Manchester United U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester United U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham U21 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Manchester United U21 let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Nottingham U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham U21 VS Manchester United U21
1.63 Goals Scored 2.29
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham U21

(Home)
13 Oct
Notts County
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
09 Oct
Peterborough U21
1 : 5
Nottingham U21
30 Sept
Nottingham U21
2 : 4
Sporting CP B
22 Sept
Burton
1 : 2
Nottingham U21
18 Sept
West Brom U21
1 : 3
Nottingham U21
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Manchester United U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Manchester United U21
3 : 2
Brentford U21
31 Aug
Manchester United U21
4 : 1
Leicester U21
24 Aug
Manchester United U21
5 : 0
Ipswich U21
31 Jul
Altrincham
1 : 0
Manchester United U21
16 May
Brighton U21
1 : 0
Manchester United U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U21 4 3 1 0 13:7 10
2 Southampton U21 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Sunderland U21 5 3 1 1 15:11 10
4 Manchester United U21 3 3 0 0 12:3 9
5 Chelsea U21 4 3 0 1 13:8 9
6 Bournemouth U21 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
7 Nottingham U21 4 3 0 1 7:7 9
8 Liverpool U21 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
9 Fulham U21 4 2 1 1 12:9 7
10 Leeds U21 4 2 1 1 11:9 7
11 Reading U21 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
12 Norwich U21 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
13 Brentford U21 4 2 0 2 10:8 6
14 Everton U21 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
15 West Ham U21 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
16 Aston Villa U21 4 1 2 1 7:8 5
17 Stoke City U21 4 1 1 2 7:5 4
18 Crystal Palace U21 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
19 Brighton U21 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
20 Derby U21 4 1 1 2 9:12 4
21 Arsenal U21 5 0 4 1 6:9 4
22 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
23 Burnley U21 4 1 0 3 8:9 3
24 Blackburn U21 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
25 Ipswich U21 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
26 Birmingham U21 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
27 Middlesbrough U21 4 0 2 2 7:10 2
28 West Brom U21 3 0 1 2 8:11 1
29 Leicester U21 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
30 Newcastle Utd U21 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
31 Wolves U21 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
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