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Nottingham U21 vs Monaco II

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup 2024/2025
Nottingham U21 Logo

Nottingham U21

3 - 1
FT
Monaco II Logo

Monaco II

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Back F.
Assist: da Silva Moreira E.
23' Event
Nadin J.
31' Event
da Silva Moreira E.
Assist: Nadin J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Nottingham U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nottingham U21
15%
Draws
34%
Monaco II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Monaco II haven't matched Nottingham U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nottingham U21's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Nottingham U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nottingham U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Monaco II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham U21 Monaco II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2024 Premier League International Cup
Nottingham U21 vs Monaco II
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Back F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nadin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Monaco II Compare

Top Goalscorer Etonde R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham U21 39 / 100
Monaco II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham U21 Monaco II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nottingham U21 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Monaco II conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Nottingham U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham U21 VS Monaco II
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham U21

(Home)
18 Sept
West Brom U21
1 : 3
Nottingham U21
14 Sept
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Burnley U21
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1
Nottingham U21
28 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 1
Manchester City U21
24 Aug
Sunderland U21
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 6

Monaco II

(Away)
10 Feb
Wolves U21
3 : 1
Monaco II
20 Jan
Manchester City U21
1 : 3
Monaco II
19 Dec
Everton U21
2 : 1
Monaco II
02 Dec
Southampton U21
0 : 2
Monaco II
09 Aug
Monaco II
0 : 2
Arsenal U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valencia B 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
2 Nottingham U21 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Monaco II 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
4 Jong Ajax 4 2 0 2 9:4 6
5 Dinamo Zagreb 2 4 1 1 2 7:10 4
6 Reading U21 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
7 Tottenham U21 4 1 0 3 4:13 3
8 Wolves U21 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon II 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
2 Ath Bilbao B 4 2 2 0 10:5 8
3 Sunderland U21 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
4 West Ham U21 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
5 Benfica B 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
6 Blackburn U21 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
7 B. Monchengladbach II 4 1 0 3 7:9 3
8 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nordsjaelland U21 4 3 1 0 10:5 10
2 Fulham U21 4 2 2 0 13:9 8
3 Hertha Berlin II 4 2 1 1 12:11 7
4 Sparta Prague U21 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
5 Norwich U21 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
6 Jong PSV 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
7 Manchester United U21 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
8 Liverpool U21 4 0 0 4 7:15 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Sporting CP B 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Chelsea U21 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
4 Southampton U21 4 2 0 2 10:11 6
5 RB Leipzig II 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
6 Crystal Palace U21 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
7 Real Sociedad B 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
8 Anderlecht 2 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)