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Nottingham U21 vs Monaco II

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Back F.
Assist: da Silva Moreira E.
23' Event
Nadin J.
31' Event
da Silva Moreira E.
Assist: Nadin J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Nottingham U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nottingham U21
6%
Draws
4%
Monaco II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Monaco II haven't matched Nottingham U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nottingham U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Nottingham U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nottingham U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Monaco II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham U21 Monaco II
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2024 Premier League International Cup
Nottingham U21 vs Monaco II
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Back F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nadin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Monaco II Compare

Top Goalscorer Etonde R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham U21 84 / 100
Monaco II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham U21 Monaco II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Nottingham U21 scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Monaco II conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Nottingham U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham U21 VS Monaco II
1 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham U21

(Home)
11 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 2
Norwich U21
04 May
Peterborough U21
0 : 1
Nottingham U21
27 Apr
Nottingham U21
3 : 2
Charlton U21
03 Apr
Nottingham U21
2 : 0
Crystal Palace U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 7

Monaco II

(Away)
10 Feb
Wolves U21
3 : 1
Monaco II
20 Jan
Manchester City U21
1 : 3
Monaco II
19 Dec
Everton U21
2 : 1
Monaco II
02 Dec
Southampton U21
0 : 2
Monaco II
09 Aug
Monaco II
0 : 2
Arsenal U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Valencia B43106:210
2Nottingham U2143017:29
3Monaco II421110:57
4Jong Ajax42029:46
5Dinamo Zagreb 241127:104
6Reading U2141126:94
7Tottenham U2141034:133
8Wolves U2140224:82
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon II43015:29
2Ath Bilbao B422010:58
3Sunderland U2142116:67
4West Ham U2141217:75
5Benfica B41215:55
6Blackburn U2141125:64
7B. Monchengladbach II41037:93
8Middlesbrough U2141033:83
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nordsjaelland U21431010:510
2Fulham U21422013:98
3Hertha Berlin II421112:117
4Sparta Prague U2142028:76
5Norwich U2142026:76
6Jong PSV41219:75
7Manchester United U2140224:82
8Liverpool U2140047:150
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brighton U2144008:012
2Sporting CP B43019:49
3Chelsea U2142029:76
4Southampton U21420210:116
5RB Leipzig II42027:106
6Crystal Palace U2141127:74
7Real Sociedad B41127:84
8Anderlecht 240042:120
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)