Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nottingham U21 vs Norwich U21

England England

Professional Development League 2025/2026 City Ground, Nottingham
Nottingham U21 Logo

Nottingham U21

1 - 2
FT
Norwich U21 Logo

Norwich U21

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Smith F.
56' Event
Glossop J.
71' Event
Forbes B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Norwich U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Nottingham U21
15%
Draws
31%
Norwich U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Nottingham U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nottingham U21's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Nottingham U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Norwich U21, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Norwich U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham U21 Norwich U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.36 1.61
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Professional Development League
Nottingham U21 vs Norwich U21
1:2
Aug 23, 2024 Premier League 2
Norwich U21 vs Nottingham U21
0:3
Aug 18, 2023 Premier League 2
Norwich U21 vs Nottingham U21
2:2
Feb 17, 2023 Premier League 2
Norwich U21 vs Nottingham U21
0:3
Oct 31, 2022 Premier League 2
Nottingham U21 vs Norwich U21
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Norwich U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Glossop J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forbes B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham U21 67 / 100
Norwich U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham U21 Norwich U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norwich U21 let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Nottingham U21 scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Nottingham U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham U21 VS Norwich U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham U21

(Home)
14 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 0
Luton U21
11 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 2
Norwich U21
04 May
Peterborough U21
0 : 1
Nottingham U21
27 Apr
Nottingham U21
3 : 2
Charlton U21
03 Apr
Nottingham U21
2 : 0
Crystal Palace U21
Page 1 of 6

Norwich U21

(Away)
31 Jul
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Norwich U21
18 Jul
Hornchurch
1 : 1
Norwich U21
15 May
Norwich U21
2 : 4
Huddersfield U21
11 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 2
Norwich U21
02 May
Norwich U21
1 : 0
Swansea U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Stoke City U21 1
Peterborough U21 3
Nottingham U21 3
Charlton U21 2
Sheffield Utd U21 1
Norwich U21 3
Swansea U21 2
Newcastle Utd U21 0
Reading U21 0
Huddersfield U21 1
Bournemouth U21 1
Wolves U21 0
Everton U21 3
Watford U21 2
Brentford U21 2
Derby U21 0
Quarter-finals
Peterborough U21 0
Nottingham U21 1
Norwich U21 1
Swansea U21 0
Huddersfield U21 4
Bournemouth U21 1
Everton U21 4
Brentford U21 2
Semi-finals
Nottingham U21 1
Norwich U21 2
Huddersfield U21 3
Everton U21 1
Final
Norwich U21 2
Huddersfield U21 4