Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nottingham U21 vs Southampton U21

England England

Premier League 2 Loughborough University Stadium, Leicestershire
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Oyekunle N.
Assist: Kayi Sanda J.
56'
Sub
Whitehall A. In: Smith F.
Out: Whitehall A.
56'
Sub
da Silva Moreira E. In: McClure B.
Out: da Silva Moreira E.

AI Match Summary

Southampton U21 in this Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Southampton U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Nottingham U21
11%
Draws
9%
Southampton U21
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Nottingham U21 have won more games recently than Southampton U21.
  • Model gives Nottingham U21 a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham U21 Southampton U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Premier League 2
Nottingham U21 vs Southampton U21
1:2
Oct 4, 2024 Premier League 2
Nottingham U21 vs Southampton U21
0:2
Apr 12, 2024 Premier League 2
Southampton U21 vs Nottingham U21
1:1
Mar 3, 2023 Premier League 2
Southampton U21 vs Nottingham U21
0:2
Aug 8, 2022 Premier League 2
Nottingham U21 vs Southampton U21
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Modupe D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Southampton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Oyekunle N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sillah Dibaga S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham U21 75 / 100
Southampton U21 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham U21 Southampton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton U21 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Nottingham U21 scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Nottingham U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham U21 VS Southampton U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham U21

(Home)
11 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 2
Norwich U21
04 May
Peterborough U21
0 : 1
Nottingham U21
27 Apr
Nottingham U21
3 : 2
Charlton U21
03 Apr
Nottingham U21
2 : 0
Crystal Palace U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
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Southampton U21

(Away)
18 Jul
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Southampton U21
24 Apr
Southampton U21
3 : 4
Aston Villa U21
12 Apr
Stoke City U21
1 : 0
Southampton U21
20 Mar
Southampton U21
2 : 1
Leeds U21
13 Mar
Manchester United U21
2 : 1
Southampton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chelsea U2120141552:2543
2Manchester United U2120134343:2643
3Manchester City U2120131659:2140
4Fulham U2120115448:3238
5Ipswich U2120122645:4538
6Southampton U2120106436:2936
7Liverpool U2120112749:3635
8Tottenham U2120112742:3235
9Leicester U212094748:4231
10Crystal Palace U212094736:3131
11Aston Villa U212094732:3531
12Brighton U212086638:2530
13West Ham U212086644:3530
14Arsenal U212085728:3329
15Sunderland U212084841:4028
16Middlesbrough U212076737:2827
17Nottingham U2120821023:2326
18Everton U212074933:3625
19Reading U212074929:3625
20Stoke City U212074929:4225
21Newcastle Utd U212066830:3524
22Wolves U212065930:4523
23Norwich U2120551032:4220
24Derby U2120551026:4420
25Leeds U2120531228:4018
26West Brom U2120531226:4118
27Birmingham U2120451126:5217
28Blackburn U2120421427:4614
29Burnley U2120341322:4213
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