Sport Picks
Nottingham U21 vs Sunderland U21
England
Premier League Cup Loughborough University Stadium, Leicestershire 
Match Events
22'
22'
da Silva Moreira E.
26'
26'
Scott F.
33'
33'
Whittaker J.
AI Match Summary
Sunderland U21 in this Premier League Cup tie, finishing 1-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nottingham U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nottingham U21 lately — more wins on the board than Sunderland U21.
- Nottingham U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Nottingham U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sunderland U21, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nottingham U21 | Sunderland U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 11, 2026 Premier League Cup
Nottingham U21 vs Sunderland U21
1:6
Nov 3, 2025 Premier League 2
Nottingham U21 vs Sunderland U21
2:0
Apr 4, 2025 Premier League 2
Sunderland U21 vs Nottingham U21
0:0
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League Cup
Nottingham U21 vs Sunderland U21
2:1
Jan 12, 2024 Premier League 2
Nottingham U21 vs Sunderland U21
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nottingham U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer da Silva Moreira E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Sunderland U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Scott F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Whittaker J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nottingham U21 84 / 100
Sunderland U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nottingham U21 Sunderland U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sunderland U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Nottingham U21 found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Nottingham U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nottingham U21 VS Sunderland U21
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Nottingham U21
(Home) 11 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 2 Norwich U21
04 May
Peterborough U21
0 : 1 Nottingham U21
27 Apr
Nottingham U21
3 : 2 Charlton U21
03 Apr
Nottingham U21
2 : 0 Crystal Palace U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
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11 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 2 Norwich U21
27 Apr
Nottingham U21
3 : 2 Charlton U21
03 Apr
Nottingham U21
2 : 0 Crystal Palace U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
06 Mar
Nottingham U21
1 : 2 Southampton U21
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Sunderland U21
(Away) 18 Jul
South Shields
1 : 1 Sunderland U21
14 May
Sunderland U21
1 : 2 Burnley U21
26 Apr
Manchester United U21
3 : 2 Sunderland U21
15 Apr
Sunderland U21
4 : 2 Blackburn U21
06 Apr
Derby U21
2 : 1 Sunderland U21
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18 Jul
South Shields
1 : 1 Sunderland U21
26 Apr
Manchester United U21
3 : 2 Sunderland U21
06 Apr
Derby U21
2 : 1 Sunderland U21
14 Mar
Chelsea U21
4 : 0 Sunderland U21
02 Mar
Crystal Palace U21
0 : 1 Sunderland U21
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Nottingham U211
Sunderland U216
Watford U213
Charlton U212
Ipswich U212
Blackburn U213
Reading U215
Stoke City U210
Burnley U213
Brentford U212
Colchester U211
Swansea U210
Sheffield Utd U211
Bournemouth U212
West Brom U211
QPR U210
Quarter-finals
Sunderland U213
Watford U211
Blackburn U213
Reading U211
Burnley U215
Colchester U212
Bournemouth U214
West Brom U215
Semi-finals
Sunderland U214
Blackburn U212
Burnley U212
West Brom U211
Final
Sunderland U211
Burnley U212
