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Nottingham U21 vs Sunderland U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026 Loughborough University Stadium, Leicestershire
Nottingham U21 Logo

Nottingham U21

1 - 6
FT
Sunderland U21 Logo

Sunderland U21

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
da Silva Moreira E.
26' Event
Scott F.
33' Event
Whittaker J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sunderland U21 in this Premier League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Nottingham U21
15%
Draws
36%
Sunderland U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nottingham U21 lately — more wins on the board than Sunderland U21.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Nottingham U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nottingham U21, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham U21 Sunderland U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 15
Draws 2 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.45 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Premier League 2
Sunderland U21 vs Nottingham U21
5:1
Feb 11, 2026 Premier League Cup
Nottingham U21 vs Sunderland U21
1:6
Nov 3, 2025 Premier League 2
Nottingham U21 vs Sunderland U21
2:0
Apr 4, 2025 Premier League 2
Sunderland U21 vs Nottingham U21
0:0
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League Cup
Nottingham U21 vs Sunderland U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Moreira E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sunderland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Whittaker J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham U21 29 / 100
Sunderland U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham U21 Sunderland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham U21's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Sunderland U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Nottingham U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham U21 VS Sunderland U21
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham U21

(Home)
22 Sept
Burton
1 : 2
Nottingham U21
18 Sept
West Brom U21
1 : 3
Nottingham U21
14 Sept
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Burnley U21
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1
Nottingham U21
28 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 1
Manchester City U21
Page 1 of 7

Sunderland U21

(Away)
22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3
Sunderland U21
18 Sept
Sunderland U21
3 : 1
Norwich U21
11 Sept
Sunderland U21
4 : 2
Ipswich U21
31 Aug
Brentford U21
5 : 1
Sunderland U21
24 Aug
Sunderland U21
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Nottingham U21 1
Sunderland U21 6
Watford U21 3
Charlton U21 2
Ipswich U21 2
Blackburn U21 3
Reading U21 5
Stoke City U21 0
Burnley U21 3
Brentford U21 2
Colchester U21 1
Swansea U21 0
Sheffield Utd U21 1
Bournemouth U21 2
West Brom U21 1
QPR U21 0
Quarter-finals
Sunderland U21 3
Watford U21 1
Blackburn U21 3
Reading U21 1
Burnley U21 5
Colchester U21 2
Bournemouth U21 4
West Brom U21 5
Semi-finals
Sunderland U21 4
Blackburn U21 2
Burnley U21 2
West Brom U21 1
Final
Sunderland U21 1
Burnley U21 2