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Stadium Background

Nottingham vs Bayer Leverkusen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ndoye D.
33' Event
Schick P.
46'
Sub
Sels M. In: John Victor
Out: Sels M.

AI Match Summary

Nottingham in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nottingham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Nottingham
30%
Draws
47%
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bayer Leverkusen lately — more wins on the board than Nottingham.
  • Model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 14%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham Bayer Leverkusen
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.43 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Nottingham vs Bayer Leverkusen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndoye D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalimuendo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Bayer Leverkusen Compare

Top Goalscorer Schick P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham 10 / 100
Bayer Leverkusen 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham Bayer Leverkusen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayer Leverkusen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Bayer Leverkusen let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Nottingham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham VS Bayer Leverkusen
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham

(Home)
19 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 1
Coventry
12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Nottingham
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0
Tottenham
29 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 2
Nottingham
25 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 2
Leeds
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Bayer Leverkusen

(Away)
20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
RB Leipzig
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Celje
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Union Berlin
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
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