Sport Picks
Nottingham vs FC Porto
Europe
Europa League 2025/2026 City Ground, Nottingham 
Match Events
19'
19'
Gibbs-White M.
(Penalty)
25'
25'
Moura F.
35'
35'
Igor Jesus
AI Match Summary
Nottingham in this Europa League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nottingham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nottingham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Nottingham haven't matched FC Porto's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Nottingham's way, sitting at 60%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Nottingham have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 68%
FC Porto Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nottingham | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 19 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 16, 2026 Europa League
Nottingham vs FC Porto
1:0
Apr 9, 2026 Europa League
FC Porto vs Nottingham
1:1
Oct 23, 2025 Europa League
Nottingham vs FC Porto
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nottingham 68 / 100
FC Porto 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nottingham FC Porto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nottingham scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.67 goals.
Nottingham went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
FC Porto has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nottingham VS FC Porto
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nottingham
(Home) 22 Jul
Nottingham
3 : 0 Blackburn
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2 Nottingham
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Bournemouth
17 May
Manchester United
3 : 2 Nottingham
10 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Newcastle Utd
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22 Jul
Nottingham
3 : 0 Blackburn
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Bournemouth
10 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Newcastle Utd
30 Apr
Nottingham
1 : 0 Aston Villa
19 Apr
Nottingham
4 : 1 Burnley
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FC Porto
(Away) 22 Jul
Gil Vicente
1 : 0 FC Porto
16 May
FC Porto
1 : 0 Santa Clara
10 May
AFS
3 : 1 FC Porto
02 May
FC Porto
1 : 0 Alverca
26 Apr
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 2 FC Porto
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Gil Vicente
1 : 0 FC Porto
10 May
AFS
3 : 1 FC Porto
26 Apr
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 2 FC Porto
16 Apr
Nottingham
1 : 0 FC Porto
12 Apr
Estoril
1 : 3 FC Porto
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 9 | Genk | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvaros | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 14 |
| 14 | Plzen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 14 |
| 15 | Crvena zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:14 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 22 | Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 23 | Din. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 24 | Brann | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 25 | Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 28 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 30 | Basel | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 31 | Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 33 | Nice | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 34 | Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:15 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)