Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nottingham vs Ferencvaros

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 City Ground, Nottingham
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Otvos B.
Assist: Yates R.
Own Goal
21' Event
Igor Jesus
Assist: Yates R.
46'
Sub
Levi J. In: Joseph L.
Out: Levi J.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between Nottingham and Ferencvaros finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nottingham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nottingham
30%
Draws
34%
Ferencvaros
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nottingham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferencvaros come out ahead of Nottingham on wins alone.
  • Nottingham are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 14%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham Ferencvaros
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 20
Draws 8 2
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Europa League
Nottingham vs Ferencvaros
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Jesus
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ferencvaros Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham 35 / 100
Ferencvaros 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham Ferencvaros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Nottingham found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Nottingham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ferencvaros has conceded goals in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham VS Ferencvaros
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham

(Home)
22 Jul
Nottingham
3 : 0
Blackburn
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2
Nottingham
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1
Bournemouth
17 May
Manchester United
3 : 2
Nottingham
10 May
Nottingham
1 : 1
Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6

Ferencvaros

(Away)
16 Jul
Ferencvaros
3 : 0
Vojvodina
09 Jul
Vojvodina
1 : 2
Ferencvaros
01 Jul
Ferencvaros
1 : 0
Qarabag Agdam
28 Jun
Ferencvaros
1 : 1
Sabah Baku
16 May
Ferencvaros
3 : 0
Zalaegerszegi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)