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Nottingham W vs Burnley W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL 2 City Ground, Nottingham
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Espas T.
Assist: Boye-Hlorkah C.
46'
Sub
Docherty C. In: Wellings C.
Out: Docherty C.
68'
Sub
Wilde M. In: Hennessy J.
Out: Wilde M.

AI Match Summary

The WSL 2 game between Nottingham W and Burnley W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nottingham W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nottingham W
20%
Draws
29%
Burnley W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nottingham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Burnley W come out ahead of Nottingham W on wins alone.
  • Nottingham W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nottingham W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Nottingham W Clean Sheet 20%
Burnley W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham W Burnley W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 19
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.14 2.68
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 WSL 2
Nottingham W vs Burnley W
2:0
Mar 9, 2025 Women's National League North
Burnley W vs Nottingham W
0:2
Jan 8, 2025 Women’s FA Cup
Nottingham W vs Burnley W
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Women's National League North
Nottingham W vs Burnley W
1:1
Jan 28, 2024 Women's National League North
Nottingham W vs Burnley W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Espas T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Burnley W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham W 49 / 100
Burnley W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham W Burnley W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham W's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Nottingham W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Burnley W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham W VS Burnley W
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham W

(Home)
18 Oct
Sheffield Utd W
1 : 0
Nottingham W
04 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 0
Burnley W
27 Sept
Southampton FC W
1 : 1
Nottingham W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2
Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
Page 1 of 6

Burnley W

(Away)
21 Oct
Burnley W
0 : 2
Aston Villa W
18 Oct
Burnley W
3 : 2
Durham W
04 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 0
Burnley W
26 Sept
Burnley W
0 : 0
Bristol City W
18 Sept
Wolverhampton W
3 : 0
Burnley W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Utd W 5 5 0 0 14:1 15
2 Sunderland W 5 4 1 0 11:4 13
3 Ipswich W 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Nottingham W 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Wolverhampton W 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
6 Bristol City W 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
7 Southampton FC W 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
8 Leicester W 5 2 0 3 6:10 6
9 Sheffield Utd W 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
10 Watford W 5 0 3 2 6:11 3
11 Burnley W 5 0 2 3 1:7 2
12 Durham W 5 0 0 5 5:16 0
Promotion - WSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - WSL (Relegation)