Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nottingham W vs Durham W

England England

WSL 2 2025/2026 City Ground, Nottingham
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Omewa J.
20' Event
Boye-Hlorkah C.
27'
Sub
Stapleton J. In: Smith K.
Out: Stapleton J.

AI Match Summary

Nottingham W in this WSL 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nottingham W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Nottingham W
20%
Draws
22%
Durham W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nottingham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nottingham W lately — more wins on the board than Durham W.
  • Win probability leans Nottingham W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nottingham W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Nottingham W Clean Sheet 20%
Durham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham W Durham W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.59 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 WSL 2
Durham W vs Nottingham W
1:2
Mar 29, 2026 WSL 2
Nottingham W vs Durham W
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 WSL 2
Durham W vs Nottingham W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Omewa J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boye-Hlorkah C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Durham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Agg L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham W 85 / 100
Durham W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham W Durham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Durham W conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Nottingham W scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Nottingham W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham W VS Durham W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham W

(Home)
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
13 Sept
Nottingham W
2 : 2
Watford W
06 Sept
Ipswich W
1 : 1
Nottingham W
02 May
Nottingham W
0 : 3
Southampton FC W
26 Apr
Portsmouth W
0 : 1
Nottingham W
Page 1 of 7

Durham W

(Away)
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2
Durham W
06 Sept
Durham W
1 : 3
Southampton FC W
30 Aug
Liverpool W
7 : 1
Durham W
02 May
Newcastle Utd W
0 : 1
Durham W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birmingham W 22 14 2 6 46:24 44
2 Crystal Palace W 22 13 5 4 44:26 44
3 Charlton W 22 12 6 4 31:21 42
4 Bristol City W 22 11 4 7 47:31 37
5 Southampton FC W 22 10 5 7 44:26 35
6 Newcastle Utd W 22 8 9 5 32:25 33
7 Nottingham W 22 9 3 10 27:35 30
8 Sunderland W 22 6 6 10 28:35 24
9 Ipswich W 22 6 5 11 26:42 23
10 Durham W 22 5 7 10 27:35 22
11 Sheffield Utd W 22 4 6 12 21:43 18
12 Portsmouth W 22 4 2 16 23:53 14
Promotion - WSL (Main)
Promotion - WSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)